⚽ Major League Soccer
FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: FC Dallas 2-1 Portland Timbers
FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers finished 2-1. FC Dallas won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.36, landed.
FC Dallas face Portland Timbers in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Dallas have 3 wins from their last 5, while Portland Timbers have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FC Dallas won 2, Portland Timbers won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.3-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Portland Timbers with a +1.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Dallas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (79%), both teams to score points yes (73%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between FC Dallas and Portland Timbers. Wins shown from FC Dallas’s perspective: FC Dallas 2 · 2 drawn · Portland Timbers 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | FC Dallas | 2 – 1 | Portland Timbers | W |
| 2024-10-06 | Portland Timbers | 0 – 0 | FC Dallas | D |
| 2024-07-05 | FC Dallas | 3 – 2 | Portland Timbers | W |
| 2023-06-12 | Portland Timbers | 1 – 0 | FC Dallas | L |
| 2023-04-02 | FC Dallas | 1 – 1 | Portland Timbers | D |
📈 Recent form
FC Dallas come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Portland Timbers.
- DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- WMinnesota United FC 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- DSt. Louis City 3-3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Portland Timbers come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 5-4 at home to Minnesota United FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Atlanta United FC.
- LPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- DPortland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- WPortland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- LPortland Timbers 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Geovane JesusKnee Injury
- A. A. Julio SantosInjury
- O. UrhoghideSuspended (cards)
- A. AravenaHip Injury
- B. ByeLeg Injury
- J. CaicedoThigh Injury
- D. Da CostaConcussion
- J. MosqueraFoot Injury
- T. MuseWrist Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FC Dallas at 46% to win and Portland Timbers at 27%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas Win | 46% | 53% | @ 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
| Portland Timbers Win | 27% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Dallas or Draw at 1.24 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas or Draw | 72% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| Portland Timbers or Draw | 53% | 47% | @ 2.02 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 79% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 86% | @ 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| Under 3.5 | 40% | 51% | @ 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 21% | 31% | @ 3.05 |
| Under 1.5 | 8% | 14% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 73%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 73% | 68% | @ 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 27% | 32% | @ 2.88 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Dallas or Portland Timbers is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas +1.5 | 89% | 86% | 1.10 |
| FC Dallas +1.25 | 85% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Portland Timbers +2 | 83% | 78% | @ 1.21 |
| FC Dallas +1 | 81% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Portland Timbers +1.75 | 80% | 73% | @ 1.31 |
| FC Dallas +0.75 | 77% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Portland Timbers +1.5 | 76% | 67% | @ 1.43 |
| FC Dallas +0.5 | 72% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Portland Timbers +1.25 | 70% | 63% | @ 1.52 |
| FC Dallas +0.25 | 66% | 73% | 1.29 |
| Portland Timbers +1 | 65% | 58% | @ 1.65 |
| FC Dallas 0 | 60% | 70% | 1.37 |
| Portland Timbers +0.75 | 59% | 52% | @ 1.86 |
| FC Dallas -0.25 | 53% | 61% | 1.57 |
| Portland Timbers +0.5 | 53% | 46% | @ 2.07 |
| FC Dallas -0.5 | 47% | 54% | 1.78 |
| Portland Timbers +0.25 | 47% | 39% | @ 2.42 |
| FC Dallas -0.75 | 41% | 48% | 2.00 |
| Portland Timbers 0 | 40% | 30% | @ 3.13 |
| FC Dallas -1 | 35% | 42% | 2.29 |
| Portland Timbers -0.25 | 34% | 27% | @ 3.58 |
| FC Dallas -1.25 | 30% | 37% | 2.56 |
| Portland Timbers -0.5 | 28% | 25% | @ 3.74 |
| FC Dallas -1.5 | 24% | 33% | 2.87 |
| Portland Timbers -0.75 | 23% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| FC Dallas -1.75 | 20% | 27% | 3.47 |
| Portland Timbers -1 | 19% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| FC Dallas -2 | 17% | 22% | 4.25 |
| Portland Timbers -1.25 | 15% | 15% | 6.40 |
| Portland Timbers -1.5 | 11% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
Our model's main pick is Portland Timbers with a +1.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.9 scoreline for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers.
What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.27 for FC Dallas and 1.90 for Portland Timbers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FC Dallas and Portland Timbers play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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