⚽ Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Real Salt Lake face New York City FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 01:30 UTC. Recent form: Real Salt Lake have 0 wins from their last 5, while New York City FC have 0 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Real Salt Lake or Draw @ 1.30

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.49 – 1.29 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	8.0%	5.2%	2.2%	0.7%
1	9.2%	11.9%	7.7%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.9%	8.9%	5.7%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.4%	4.4%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.3%	1.6%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Real Salt Lake winDrawNew York City FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Real Salt Lake or Draw at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Real Salt Lake win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.55 (+7.9% model value).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.55, 70% model probability, +7.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Real Salt Lake 49%Draw 28%New York City FC 23%

49%28%23%

49%

Real Salt Lake Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+7.9%

Best value: Under 3.5

📈 Recent form

Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Colorado Rapids.

DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
LColorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
LLeon 3-0 Real Salt LakeLeagues Cup
LOrlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
LReal Salt Lake 3-4 FC DallasMajor League Soccer

New York City FC

New York City FC come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at FC Cincinnati.

DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
DNew England Revolution 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
LFC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
LNew York City FC 2-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 14 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Real Salt Lake

Z. BoothHamstring Injury
G. DillonFoot Injury
J. GladGroin Injury
A. PiolAchilles Tendon Injury
E. EneliKnee Injury
M. GuilavoguiKnee Injury
S. JunquaConcussion
S. SpieringsAnkle Injury

New York City FC

D. BaieraKnee Injury
A. FarnosInjury
M. MoralezKnee Injury
K. ParksInjury
Talles MagnoMuscle Injury
K. TrewinAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Real Salt Lake at 49% to win and New York City FC at 23%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	28%	@ 3.75	+5.5%
Real Salt Lake Win	49%	@ 1.98	-2.8%
New York City FC Win	23%	@ 3.35	-23.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.30 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Real Salt Lake or Draw	76%	@ 1.30	-1.8%
New York City FC or Draw	49%	@ 1.79	-11.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	24%	@ 5.00	+17.3%
Under 2.5	47%	@ 2.40	+13.8%
Under 3.5	70%	@ 1.55	+7.9%
Over 1.5	76%	@ 1.15	-12.0%
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.55	-18.5%
Over 3.5	30%	@ 2.35	-28.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.43	+7.5%
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.50	-16.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

Our main pick is Real Salt Lake or Draw at odds 1.30, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 3.5 goals at 1.55 (+7.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

Our model makes a Real Salt Lake win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC.

What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Real Salt Lake and 1.29 for New York City FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Real Salt Lake and New York City FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 01:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.