Sun 13 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.

Result: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle Sounders

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.57, landed.

Los Angeles Galaxy face Seattle Sounders in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles Galaxy have 2 wins from their last 5, while Seattle Sounders have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.4-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Seattle Sounders +1.5 @ 1.25
80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.45 – 1.36 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.0% 8.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
1 8.7% 11.9% 8.1% 3.7% 1.2%
2 6.3% 8.6% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9%
3 3.1% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Los Angeles Galaxy winDrawSeattle Sounders win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Seattle Sounders with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Los Angeles Galaxy 42%Draw 27%Seattle Sounders 31%
42%27%31%
42%
Los Angeles Galaxy Win
53%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Los Angeles Galaxy and Seattle Sounders. Wins shown from Los Angeles Galaxy’s perspective: Los Angeles Galaxy 3 · 2 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-13 Los Angeles Galaxy 1 – 1 Seattle Sounders D
2026-05-17 Seattle Sounders 0 – 2 Los Angeles Galaxy W
2024-12-01 Los Angeles Galaxy 1 – 0 Seattle Sounders W
2024-05-05 Seattle Sounders 0 – 0 Los Angeles Galaxy D
2024-03-31 Los Angeles Galaxy 1 – 0 Seattle Sounders W

📈 Recent form

Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Minnesota United FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Vancouver Whitecaps.

  • WMinnesota United FC 2-3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • LVancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • WLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
  • LSan Diego 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders come into this game with 5 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5.

  • DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
  • DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
  • DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Los Angeles Galaxy
  • J. PaintsilThigh Injury
  • R. PuigKnee Injury
  • E. WynderInjury
Seattle Sounders
  • J. FerreiraInjury
  • Y. Gomez AndradeMuscle Injury
  • N. PetkovicKnee Injury
  • J. RagenKnee Injury
  • P. de La VegaCalf Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Los Angeles Galaxy at 42% to win and Seattle Sounders at 31%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 42% 44% @ 2.12
Seattle Sounders Win 31% 31% @ 3.05
Draw 27% 25% @ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at 1.36 (69% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw 69% 69% @ 1.36
Seattle Sounders or Draw 57% 56% @ 1.68

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% 81% @ 1.15
Under 3.5 69% 60% @ 1.57
Over 2.5 53% 61% @ 1.53
Under 2.5 47% 39% @ 2.43
Over 3.5 31% 40% @ 2.32
Under 1.5 23% 19% @ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 57% 63% @ 1.47
BTTS No 43% 37% @ 2.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Los Angeles Galaxy or Seattle Sounders is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Los Angeles Galaxy +1.5 87% 83% 1.14
Seattle Sounders +2 86% 86% 1.10
Seattle Sounders +1.75 83% 81% 1.17
Los Angeles Galaxy +1.25 83% 83% 1.15
Seattle Sounders +1.5 80% 75% 1.25
Los Angeles Galaxy +1 78% 80% 1.18
Seattle Sounders +1.25 74% 73% 1.31
Los Angeles Galaxy +0.75 73% 74% 1.28
Los Angeles Galaxy +0.5 69% 68% 1.40
Seattle Sounders +1 68% 70% 1.36
Seattle Sounders +0.75 63% 62% 1.52
Los Angeles Galaxy +0.25 62% 64% 1.50
Seattle Sounders +0.5 57% 56% 1.71
Los Angeles Galaxy 0 56% 58% 1.65
Seattle Sounders +0.25 51% 50% 1.92
Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 49% 50% 1.94
Seattle Sounders 0 44% 42% @ 2.28
Los Angeles Galaxy -0.5 43% 44% 2.19
Seattle Sounders -0.25 38% 36% 2.64
Los Angeles Galaxy -0.75 37% 38% 2.54
Los Angeles Galaxy -1 32% 30% 3.16
Seattle Sounders -0.5 31% 32% 3.02
Seattle Sounders -0.75 27% 26% 3.65
Los Angeles Galaxy -1.25 26% 27% 3.53
Seattle Sounders -1 22% 20% @ 4.80
Los Angeles Galaxy -1.5 20% 25% 3.80
Seattle Sounders -1.25 17% 17% 5.50
Los Angeles Galaxy -1.75 17% 19% 5.00
Los Angeles Galaxy -2 14% 14% 7.00
Seattle Sounders -1.5 13% 17% 5.75

📈 How the market moved

21%36%51%09/0809/0909/1009/1109/1209/13

Los Angeles Galaxy 43%Draw 25%Seattle Sounders 32%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?

Our model's main pick is Seattle Sounders with a +1.5 start at odds 1.25, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?

Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders.

What is the predicted score for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.45 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.36 for Seattle Sounders. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Los Angeles Galaxy and Seattle Sounders play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.