vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.
San Jose Earthquakes face Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: San Jose Earthquakes have 0 wins from their last 5, while Houston Dynamo have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 1, Houston Dynamo won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.3-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.55, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo. Wins shown from San Jose Earthquakes’s perspective: San Jose Earthquakes 1 · 1 drawn · Houston Dynamo 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Houston Dynamo | 0 – 0 | San Jose Earthquakes | D |
| 2024-07-18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | L |
| 2024-03-31 | Houston Dynamo | 2 – 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | L |
| 2023-06-22 | Houston Dynamo | 4 – 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | L |
| 2023-04-02 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | W |
📈 Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at home to Minnesota United FC.
- DAustin 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 1-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
Houston Dynamo come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Vancouver Whitecaps. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at St. Louis City.
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LSt. Louis City 2-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WVancouver Whitecaps 0-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WHouston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. AdimabuaLower-Body Injury
- E. EdwardsLower-Body Injury
- M. FlorianiSuspended (red card)
- D. JohnsonLower-Body Injury
- D. JonesAchilles Tendon Injury
- P. MarieInjury
- T. WernerInjury
- L. FosterNot in squad
- J. MaurerConcussion
- M. SaracchiLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices San Jose Earthquakes at 31% to win and Houston Dynamo at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 29% | @ 3.65 | +5.1% |
| Houston Dynamo Win | 40% | @ 2.55 | +1.5% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Win | 31% | @ 2.48 | -22.2% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Houston Dynamo or Draw at 1.50 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo or Draw | 67% | @ 1.50 | +1.0% |
| San Jose Earthquakes or Draw | 59% | @ 1.49 | -12.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 22% | @ 5.00 | +10.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | @ 2.40 | +9.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | @ 1.55 | +5.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | @ 1.15 | -10.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | @ 1.54 | -16.1% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | @ 2.38 | -23.5% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 42% | @ 2.55 | +8.1% |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | @ 1.45 | -16.5% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.55, with 68% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.54 for Houston Dynamo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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