⚽ La Liga

Celta Vigo vs Malaga Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celta Vigo vs Malaga in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Celta Vigo face Malaga in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Celta Vigo have 0 wins from their last 5, while Malaga have 0 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celta Vigo vs Malaga with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.32

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.50 – 1.29 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.9%	5.1%	2.2%	0.7%
1	9.2%	11.9%	7.7%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.9%	8.9%	5.7%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.5%	4.5%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Celta Vigo winDrawMalaga win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Malaga is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Celta Vigo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams to score at odds 1.87 (+5.3% model value).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.87, 56% model probability, +5.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Celta Vigo 52%Draw 23%Malaga 24%

52%23%24%

52%

Celta Vigo Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+5.3%

Best value: BTTS Yes

📈 Recent form

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Athletic Club.

DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
LCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic ClubLa Liga
DValencia 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
LCelta Vigo 1-2 OsasunaLa Liga

Malaga

Malaga come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Real Madrid.

DMalaga 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
LReal Madrid 4-0 MalagaLa Liga
DMalaga 1-1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
LAtletico Madrid 2-0 MalagaLa Liga
DMalaga 2-2 FulhamFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Celta Vigo

A. FebasRibs Injury

Malaga

F. CaleroRibs Injury
M. DiarraCalf Injury
J. LobeteKnee Injury
D. MurilloInjury
A. OchoaKnee Injury
A. NinoInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celta Vigo at 52% to win and Malaga at 24%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Malaga Win	24%	@ 4.60	+12.6%
Celta Vigo Win	52%	@ 1.76	-8.3%
Draw	23%	@ 3.60	-15.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Malaga or Draw at 1.95 (48% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Malaga or Draw	48%	@ 1.95	-5.4%
Celta Vigo or Draw	76%	@ 1.16	-11.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.65	+11.6%
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.97	+4.0%
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.32	+1.3%
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.26	-12.5%
Under 2.5	47%	@ 1.72	-18.8%
Under 1.5	23%	@ 3.25	-24.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.87	+5.3%
BTTS No	44%	@ 1.80	-21.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Malaga?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams to score at 1.87 (+5.3% value).

Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Malaga?

Our model makes a Celta Vigo win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Celta Vigo vs Malaga.

What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Malaga?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Celta Vigo and 1.29 for Malaga. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celta Vigo and Malaga play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.