PEC ZwollevsFeyenoord

⚽ Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:45 UTC.

PEC Zwolle face Feyenoord in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:45 UTC. Recent form: PEC Zwolle have 1 win from their last 5, while Feyenoord have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Feyenoord won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 1.1-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.33
64%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.13 – 2.16 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.7% 8.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.4%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.8% 7.1% 3.8%
2 2.4% 5.1% 5.5% 4.0% 2.2%
3 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-2
PEC Zwolle winDrawFeyenoord win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 64%. On the match result, the model rates a Feyenoord win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.91 (+11.3% model value).

Best value
Under 3.5 at odds 1.91, 58% model probability, +11.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

PEC Zwolle 17%Draw 22%Feyenoord 62%
17%22%62%
62%
Feyenoord Win
64%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS yes
+11.3%
Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between PEC Zwolle and Feyenoord. Wins shown from PEC Zwolle’s perspective: Feyenoord 5.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-05-17 PEC Zwolle 0 – 2 Feyenoord L
2025-12-06 Feyenoord 6 – 1 PEC Zwolle L
2025-04-25 Feyenoord 4 – 0 PEC Zwolle L
2024-08-18 PEC Zwolle 1 – 5 Feyenoord L
2024-05-05 Feyenoord 5 – 0 PEC Zwolle L

📈 Recent form

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Heerenveen. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to NEC Nijmegen.

  • DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
  • LPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
  • WHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
  • LTwente 3-1 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
  • LPEC Zwolle 0-2 AjaxEredivisie
Feyenoord

Feyenoord come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Cambuur. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-5 at Barcelona.

  • LBarcelona 5-1 FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
  • WNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
  • DFeyenoord 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
  • WCambuur 2-5 FeyenoordEredivisie
  • DFeyenoord 2-2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

PEC Zwolle
  • J. BurgerKnock
  • F. KrastevAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Y. NamliKnee Injury
Feyenoord
  • T. BeelenBroken Leg
  • J. BosKnee Injury
  • J. ModerKnee Injury
  • R. NelsonNot in squad
  • B. NieuwkoopInjury
  • G. SmalAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PEC Zwolle at 17% to win and Feyenoord at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Draw 22% @ 4.90 +6.1%
PEC Zwolle Win 17% @ 6.10 +1.5%
Feyenoord Win 62% @ 1.42 -12.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PEC Zwolle or Draw at 2.75 (38% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
PEC Zwolle or Draw 38% @ 2.75 +5.6%
Feyenoord or Draw 83% @ 1.11 -7.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Under 2.5 36% @ 3.20 +15.7%
Under 1.5 16% @ 7.00 +11.9%
Under 3.5 58% @ 1.91 +11.3%
Over 1.5 84% @ 1.08 -9.3%
Over 2.5 64% @ 1.33 -15.1%
Over 3.5 42% @ 1.88 -21.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS No 40% @ 2.55 +1.4%
BTTS Yes 60% @ 1.46 -12.1%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 64% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 3.5 goals at 1.91 (+11.3% value).

Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord?

Our model makes a Feyenoord win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 1.1-2.2 scoreline for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord.

What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.13 for PEC Zwolle and 2.16 for Feyenoord. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PEC Zwolle and Feyenoord play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.