⚽ Bundesliga
SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:30 UTC.
Result: SV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern Munich
SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich finished 1-2. Bayern Munich won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, both teams to score at 1.61, landed.
SV Elversberg face Bayern Munich in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 1.4-2.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| 2 | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.61, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bayern Munich win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (70%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
SV Elversberg come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at MSV Duisburg. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Bayern Munich.
- DFC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
- LSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
- WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
- WSV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
- WMSV Duisburg 1-3 SV ElversbergDFB Pokal
Bayern Munich come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 18 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to Union Berlin.
- WBayern Munich 7-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
- WSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
- WBayern Munich 5-0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
- DFC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern MunichBundesliga
- WVfL Osnabrück 1-4 Bayern MunichDFB Pokal
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- L. SeifertAnkle Injury
- T. ZimmerschiedBack Injury
- T. BuchmannKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices SV Elversberg at 15% to win and Bayern Munich at 66%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich Win | 66% | 82% | @ 1.14 |
| Draw | 19% | 11% | @ 8.50 |
| SV Elversberg Win | 15% | 7% | @ 14.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.02 (86% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich or Draw | 86% | 93% | @ 1.02 |
| SV Elversberg or Draw | 35% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 91% | @ 1.03 |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 | 46% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 21% | @ 4.60 |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | 9% | @ 10.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 58% | @ 1.61 |
| BTTS No | 30% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when SV Elversberg or Bayern Munich is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich -0.25 | 70% | 85% | 1.12 |
| SV Elversberg +2 | 70% | 39% | @ 2.41 |
| Bayern Munich -0.5 | 65% | 83% | 1.14 |
| SV Elversberg +1.75 | 64% | 35% | @ 2.68 |
| SV Elversberg +1.5 | 60% | 32% | @ 2.97 |
| Bayern Munich -0.75 | 59% | 82% | 1.16 |
| SV Elversberg +1.25 | 53% | 27% | @ 3.46 |
| Bayern Munich -1 | 53% | – | 1.23 |
| Bayern Munich -1.25 | 47% | 73% | 1.29 |
| SV Elversberg +0.75 | 41% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Bayern Munich -1.5 | 40% | 68% | 1.39 |
| Bayern Munich -1.75 | 36% | 65% | 1.46 |
| SV Elversberg +0.5 | 35% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Bayern Munich -2 | 30% | 61% | 1.56 |
| SV Elversberg +0.25 | 30% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich?
Our model's main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.61, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.
Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich?
Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.4 scoreline for SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich.
What is the predicted score for SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.45 for SV Elversberg and 2.40 for Bayern Munich. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do SV Elversberg and Bayern Munich play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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