⚽ Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

PSV Eindhoven face Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: PSV Eindhoven have 4 wins from their last 5, while Sparta Rotterdam have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 79%, projecting a 3.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.58

64%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.13 – 1.11 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
1	4.5%	5.0%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
2	7.1%	7.8%	4.3%	1.6%	0.4%
3	7.4%	8.2%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%
4	5.8%	6.4%	3.5%	1.3%	0.4%

Projected score: 3-1

PSV Eindhoven winDrawSparta Rotterdam win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.58, the selection our model is most confident in at 64%. On the match result, the model rates a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 79%. Goals lean over 2.5 (79%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.58, 64% model probability, +1.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

PSV Eindhoven 79%Draw 11%Sparta Rotterdam 10%

79%11%10%

79%

PSV Eindhoven Win

79%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

+1.2%

Best value: BTTS Yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam. Wins shown from PSV Eindhoven’s perspective: PSV Eindhoven 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-11	Sparta Rotterdam	0 – 2	PSV Eindhoven	W
2025-08-09	PSV Eindhoven	6 – 1	Sparta Rotterdam	W
2025-05-18	Sparta Rotterdam	1 – 3	PSV Eindhoven	W
2024-10-05	PSV Eindhoven	2 – 1	Sparta Rotterdam	W
2024-05-05	PSV Eindhoven	4 – 2	Sparta Rotterdam	W

📈 Recent form

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 18 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at Utrecht. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WUtrecht 1-6 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WPSV Eindhoven 5-1 GroningenEredivisie
WExcelsior 1-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
DPSV Eindhoven 2-2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Telstar. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Excelsior.

DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 UtrechtEredivisie
WTelstar 1-3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
LSparta Rotterdam 0-1 FeyenoordEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PSV Eindhoven at 79% to win and Sparta Rotterdam at 10%, with the draw at 11%. Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Sparta Rotterdam Win	10%	@ 11.50	+11.7%
PSV Eindhoven Win	79%	@ 1.18	-6.3%
Draw	11%	@ 7.50	-18.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sparta Rotterdam or Draw at 4.50 (23% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw	23%	@ 4.50	+3.1%
PSV Eindhoven or Draw	92%	@ 1.03	-5.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 79% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	92%	@ 1.04	-4.0%
Over 2.5	79%	@ 1.21	-4.0%
Over 3.5	61%	@ 1.57	-4.2%
Under 3.5	39%	@ 2.35	-8.5%
Under 2.5	21%	@ 4.25	-12.2%
Under 1.5	8%	@ 10.00	-23.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	64%	@ 1.58	+1.2%
BTTS No	36%	@ 2.23	-19.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.58, with 64% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 79%. It projects an expected 3.1-1.1 scoreline for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam.

What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.13 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.11 for Sparta Rotterdam. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.