⚽ Brazilian Série A
Flamengo vs Corinthians Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Flamengo vs Corinthians in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 20:30 UTC.
Result: Flamengo 2-1 Corinthians
Flamengo vs Corinthians finished 2-1. Flamengo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.32, landed.
Flamengo face Corinthians in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 20:30 UTC. Recent form: Flamengo have 4 wins from their last 5, while Corinthians have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 3, Corinthians won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.6-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Flamengo vs Corinthians with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 10.9% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Flamengo vs Corinthians comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Flamengo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Flamengo and Corinthians. Wins shown from Flamengo’s perspective: Flamengo 3 · 1 drawn · Corinthians 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Flamengo | 2 – 1 | Corinthians | W |
| 2024-09-01 | Corinthians | 2 – 1 | Flamengo | L |
| 2024-05-11 | Flamengo | 2 – 0 | Corinthians | W |
| 2023-10-08 | Corinthians | 1 – 1 | Flamengo | D |
| 2023-05-21 | Flamengo | 1 – 0 | Corinthians | W |
📈 Recent form
Flamengo come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Independiente del Valle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- DFlamengo 1-1 Independiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores
- WFlamengo 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
- WIndependiente del Valle 0-2 FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores
- WRemo 0-1 FlamengoBrazilian Série A
Corinthians come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Fluminense.
- LCorinthians 1-3 FluminenseBrazilian Série A
- LCorinthians 0-1 Estudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores
- LFlamengo 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
- DEstudiantes L.P. 1-1 CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores
- LCorinthians 1-2 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Alex SandroCalf Injury
- EvertonNot in squad
- Evertton AraujoThigh Injury
- LorranNot in squad
- AndreMuscle Injury
- Andre RamalhoNot in squad
- KaykeKnee Injury
- Z. LabyadKnee Injury
- VitinhoKnee Injury
- Yuri AlbertoMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Flamengo at 56% to win and Corinthians at 17%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo Win | 56% | 64% | @ 1.46 |
| Draw | 27% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
| Corinthians Win | 17% | 13% | @ 7.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Flamengo or Draw at 1.09 (81% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo or Draw | 81% | 87% | @ 1.09 |
| Corinthians or Draw | 42% | 36% | @ 2.63 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 76% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 74% | @ 1.27 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 50% | @ 1.88 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 29% | @ 3.30 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 53% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 47% | 45% | @ 2.04 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Flamengo or Corinthians is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo +0.5 | 81% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Corinthians +2 | 76% | 66% | @ 1.45 |
| Flamengo +0.25 | 75% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Corinthians +1.75 | 71% | 58% | @ 1.65 |
| Flamengo 0 | 70% | – | 1.12 |
| Corinthians +1.5 | 66% | 51% | @ 1.89 |
| Flamengo -0.25 | 64% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Corinthians +1.25 | 60% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Flamengo -0.5 | 58% | 72% | 1.31 |
| Corinthians +1 | 54% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Flamengo -0.75 | 52% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Corinthians +0.75 | 48% | 31% | @ 3.08 |
| Flamengo -1 | 46% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Corinthians +0.5 | 42% | 28% | @ 3.44 |
| Flamengo -1.25 | 40% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Corinthians +0.25 | 36% | 22% | @ 4.30 |
| Flamengo -1.5 | 34% | 49% | 1.99 |
| Flamengo -1.75 | 29% | 42% | 2.25 |
| Corinthians -0.25 | 25% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Flamengo -2 | 24% | 34% | 2.77 |
| Corinthians -0.5 | 19% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Corinthians?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
Who is the favourite for Flamengo vs Corinthians?
Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline for Flamengo vs Corinthians.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Corinthians?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.64 for Flamengo and 0.87 for Corinthians. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Flamengo and Corinthians play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 20:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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