⚽ Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:30 UTC.
Result: Chicago Fire 1-2 New England Revolution
Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution finished 1-2. New England Revolution won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, New England Revolution Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.35, landed.
Chicago Fire face New England Revolution in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:30 UTC. Recent form: Chicago Fire have 2 wins from their last 5, while New England Revolution have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, New England Revolution won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Chicago Fire win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is New England Revolution Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.35, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Chicago Fire win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Chicago Fire and New England Revolution. Wins shown from Chicago Fire’s perspective: 3 drawn · New England Revolution 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 2 | New England Revolution | L |
| 2024-05-05 | Chicago Fire | 0 – 1 | New England Revolution | L |
| 2024-03-23 | New England Revolution | 1 – 1 | Chicago Fire | D |
| 2023-09-24 | Chicago Fire | 2 – 2 | New England Revolution | D |
| 2023-05-27 | New England Revolution | 3 – 3 | Chicago Fire | D |
📈 Recent form
Chicago Fire come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Nashville SC.
- LNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Orlando City SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- WNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 1-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. BambaLower-Body Injury
- A. FrancoKnee Injury
- M. MbokaziLower-Body Injury
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
- J. WynderNot in squad
- A. YusufInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Chicago Fire at 39% to win and New England Revolution at 35%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Chicago Fire win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire Win | 39% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| New England Revolution Win | 35% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Chicago Fire or Draw at 1.20 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 65% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| New England Revolution or Draw | 61% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 64% | @ 1.46 |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 36% | @ 2.63 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 17% | @ 5.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 62% | @ 1.49 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 38% | @ 2.45 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Chicago Fire or New England Revolution is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution +2 | 88% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| New England Revolution +1.75 | 85% | 75% | @ 1.27 |
| New England Revolution +1.5 | 82% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| New England Revolution +1.25 | 77% | 67% | @ 1.43 |
| Chicago Fire +1 | 75% | 86% | 1.10 |
| New England Revolution +1 | 72% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Chicago Fire +0.75 | 70% | 79% | 1.19 |
| New England Revolution +0.75 | 66% | 55% | @ 1.74 |
| Chicago Fire +0.5 | 65% | 74% | 1.28 |
| New England Revolution +0.5 | 61% | 50% | @ 1.94 |
| Chicago Fire +0.25 | 59% | 71% | 1.34 |
| New England Revolution +0.25 | 55% | 42% | @ 2.27 |
| Chicago Fire 0 | 52% | 67% | 1.43 |
| New England Revolution 0 | 48% | 33% | @ 2.86 |
| Chicago Fire -0.25 | 45% | 58% | 1.65 |
| New England Revolution -0.25 | 41% | 29% | @ 3.29 |
| Chicago Fire -0.5 | 39% | 50% | 1.91 |
| New England Revolution -0.5 | 35% | 26% | @ 3.62 |
| Chicago Fire -0.75 | 34% | 45% | 2.12 |
| New England Revolution -0.75 | 30% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Chicago Fire -1 | 28% | 38% | 2.50 |
| New England Revolution -1 | 25% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Chicago Fire -1.25 | 23% | 33% | 2.83 |
| Chicago Fire -1.5 | 18% | 30% | 3.18 |
| Chicago Fire -1.75 | 15% | 25% | 3.71 |
| Chicago Fire -2 | 12% | 18% | 5.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?
Our model's main pick is New England Revolution Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.35, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a Chicago Fire win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Chicago Fire and 1.60 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Chicago Fire and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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