vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:30 UTC.
Chicago Fire face New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:30 UTC. Recent form: Chicago Fire have 2 wins from their last 5, while New England Revolution have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, New England Revolution won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Chicago Fire win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is New England Revolution or Draw at odds 2.15, the selection our model is most confident in at 61%. On the match result, the model rates a Chicago Fire win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (62%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Chicago Fire and New England Revolution. Wins shown from Chicago Fire’s perspective: 3 drawn · New England Revolution 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-05 | Chicago Fire | 0 – 1 | New England Revolution | L |
| 2024-03-23 | New England Revolution | 1 – 1 | Chicago Fire | D |
| 2023-09-24 | Chicago Fire | 2 – 2 | New England Revolution | D |
| 2023-05-27 | New England Revolution | 3 – 3 | Chicago Fire | D |
📈 Recent form
Chicago Fire come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Orlando City SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Monterrey.
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LMonterrey 2-1 Chicago FireLeagues Cup
- DNew York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- WOrlando City SC 1-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at DC United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 1-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DNew England Revolution 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 0-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LToronto FC 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. BambaLower-Body Injury
- A. FrancoKnee Injury
- M. MbokaziLower-Body Injury
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
- J. WynderNot in squad
- A. YusufInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Chicago Fire at 39% to win and New England Revolution at 35%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Chicago Fire win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution Win | 35% | @ 4.40 | +54.4% |
| Draw | 26% | @ 4.10 | +5.5% |
| Chicago Fire Win | 39% | @ 1.67 | -34.5% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New England Revolution or Draw at 2.15 (61% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution or Draw | 61% | @ 2.15 | +31.5% |
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 65% | @ 1.20 | -21.7% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 39% | @ 2.63 | +3.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | @ 1.65 | +1.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | @ 5.60 | +0.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | @ 1.12 | -8.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | @ 1.46 | -11.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | @ 2.18 | -16.3% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | @ 1.49 | -6.9% |
| BTTS No | 38% | @ 2.45 | -8.0% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?
Our main pick is New England Revolution or Draw at odds 2.15, with 61% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a Chicago Fire win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Chicago Fire and 1.56 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Chicago Fire and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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