⚽ Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Columbus Crew face New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Columbus Crew have 1 win from their last 5, while New York Red Bulls have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Columbus Crew won 3, New York Red Bulls won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.9-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Columbus Crew or Draw @ 1.29

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.89 – 1.42 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.7%	5.2%	3.7%	1.7%	0.6%
1	6.9%	9.8%	7.0%	3.3%	1.2%
2	6.5%	9.3%	6.6%	3.1%	1.1%
3	4.1%	5.8%	4.1%	2.0%	0.7%
4	1.9%	2.8%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Columbus Crew winDrawNew York Red Bulls win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Columbus Crew or Draw at odds 1.29, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Columbus Crew win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (64%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.84 (+6.4% model value).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.84, 58% model probability, +6.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Columbus Crew 52%Draw 23%New York Red Bulls 25%

52%23%25%

52%

Columbus Crew Win

64%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

+6.4%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls. Wins shown from Columbus Crew’s perspective: Columbus Crew 3 · New York Red Bulls 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-13	New York Red Bulls	3 – 2	Columbus Crew	L
2024-10-29	Columbus Crew	0 – 1	New York Red Bulls	L
2024-10-20	New York Red Bulls	2 – 3	Columbus Crew	W
2024-03-16	Columbus Crew	3 – 0	New York Red Bulls	W
2023-07-01	Columbus Crew	2 – 1	New York Red Bulls	W

📈 Recent form

Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Colorado Rapids. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at DC United.

LDC United 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
WColumbus Crew 3-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
LColumbus Crew 1-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
LClub America 2-0 Columbus CrewLeagues Cup
LNashville SC 3-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Philadelphia Union.

DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
DNew York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 0-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
LAtlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Columbus Crew

W. Abou AliKnee Injury
S. BangouraAnkle Injury
R. CamachoFoot Injury
S. RodriguezInjury

New York Red Bulls

A. MarcucciKnee Injury
A. MehmetiInjury
R. MosqueraNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Columbus Crew at 52% to win and New York Red Bulls at 25%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Columbus Crew Win	52%	@ 1.87	-3.0%
Draw	23%	@ 4.10	-6.6%
New York Red Bulls Win	25%	@ 3.45	-12.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Columbus Crew or Draw at 1.29 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Columbus Crew or Draw	76%	@ 1.29	-2.5%
New York Red Bulls or Draw	49%	@ 1.88	-7.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	36%	@ 3.05	+9.0%
Under 3.5	58%	@ 1.84	+6.4%
Under 1.5	16%	@ 6.50	+2.3%
Over 1.5	84%	@ 1.10	-7.3%
Over 2.5	64%	@ 1.36	-12.6%
Over 3.5	42%	@ 1.93	-18.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	36%	@ 2.88	+4.8%
BTTS Yes	64%	@ 1.35	-14.1%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?

Our main pick is Columbus Crew or Draw at odds 1.29, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 3.5 goals at 1.84 (+6.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?

Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls.

What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Columbus Crew and 1.42 for New York Red Bulls. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.