Sat 12 Sep3-0Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Orlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FC

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC finished 3-0. Orlando City SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Orlando City SC or Draw at 1.28, landed.

Orlando City SC face Toronto FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Orlando City SC have 2 wins from their last 5, while Toronto FC have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Orlando City SC won 4, Toronto FC won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.8-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Orlando City SC or Draw @ 1.28

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.81 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	5.7%	3.9%	1.7%	0.6%
1	7.7%	10.4%	7.0%	3.1%	1.1%
2	6.9%	9.4%	6.3%	2.8%	1.0%
3	4.2%	5.7%	3.8%	1.7%	0.6%
4	1.9%	2.6%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Orlando City SC winDrawToronto FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Orlando City SC or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Orlando City SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

Orlando City SC 57%Draw 20%Toronto FC 23%

57%20%23%

57%

Orlando City SC Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Orlando City SC and Toronto FC. Wins shown from Orlando City SC’s perspective: Orlando City SC 4 · Toronto FC 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	Orlando City SC	3 – 0	Toronto FC	W
2024-07-03	Toronto FC	1 – 2	Orlando City SC	W
2024-04-27	Orlando City SC	1 – 2	Toronto FC	L
2023-10-21	Toronto FC	0 – 2	Orlando City SC	W
2023-07-04	Orlando City SC	4 – 0	Toronto FC	W

📈 Recent form

Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Toronto FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at New England Revolution.

LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
LColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
WOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
WOrlando City SC 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer

Toronto FC

Toronto FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Nashville SC. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at St. Louis City.

LSt. Louis City 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
LOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Orlando City SC

A. MarinThigh Injury
B. OjedaFoot Injury

Toronto FC

D. MihailovicMuscle Injury
J. OsorioKnee Injury
N. PalacioLower-Body Injury
L. StefanovicFoot Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Orlando City SC at 57% to win and Toronto FC at 23%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Orlando City SC Win	57%	50%	@ 1.86
Toronto FC Win	23%	26%	@ 3.55
Draw	20%	24%	@ 3.95

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Orlando City SC or Draw at 1.28 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Orlando City SC or Draw	79%	74%	@ 1.28
Toronto FC or Draw	45%	50%	@ 1.90

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	86%	@ 1.09
Over 2.5	61%	68%	@ 1.38
Under 3.5	61%	52%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	39%	48%	@ 1.96
Under 2.5	39%	32%	@ 2.95
Under 1.5	18%	14%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	68%	@ 1.37
BTTS No	42%	32%	@ 2.85

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Orlando City SC or Toronto FC is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Orlando City SC +1.5	93%	86%	@ 1.10
Orlando City SC +1.25	89%	86%	1.10
Orlando City SC +1	86%	86%	1.11
Orlando City SC +0.75	82%	79%	1.19
Orlando City SC +0.5	79%	74%	@ 1.27
Toronto FC +2	78%	81%	1.17
Toronto FC +1.75	74%	74%	1.27
Orlando City SC +0.25	73%	71%	1.33
Toronto FC +1.5	69%	69%	1.38
Orlando City SC 0	67%	67%	1.42
Toronto FC +1.25	63%	66%	1.45
Orlando City SC -0.25	61%	58%	@ 1.64
Toronto FC +1	57%	61%	1.55
Orlando City SC -0.5	55%	52%	@ 1.85
Toronto FC +0.75	51%	54%	1.76
Orlando City SC -0.75	49%	46%	@ 2.08
Toronto FC +0.5	45%	48%	2.00
Orlando City SC -1	43%	39%	@ 2.46
Toronto FC +0.25	39%	42%	2.29
Orlando City SC -1.25	37%	34%	@ 2.79
Toronto FC 0	33%	33%	2.88
Orlando City SC -1.5	31%	31%	3.12
Toronto FC -0.25	27%	29%	3.31
Orlando City SC -1.75	26%	26%	3.55
Orlando City SC -2	22%	19%	@ 5.00
Toronto FC -0.5	21%	26%	3.71
Toronto FC -0.75	18%	21%	4.50
Toronto FC -1	14%	14%	6.60
Toronto FC -1.25	11%	14%	7.00
Toronto FC -1.5	7%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Orlando City SC 51%Draw 23%Toronto FC 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

Our model's main pick is Orlando City SC or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.4 scoreline for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.81 for Orlando City SC and 1.35 for Toronto FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Orlando City SC and Toronto FC play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.