Mon 14 Sep0-2Finished

⚽ Serie A

Torino vs AS Roma Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Torino vs AS Roma in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 14 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Torino 0-2 AS Roma

Torino vs AS Roma finished 0-2. AS Roma won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.27, landed.

Torino face AS Roma in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Monday 14 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Torino have 1 win from their last 3, while AS Roma have 3 wins from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Torino won 1, AS Roma won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AS Roma win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.0-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Torino vs AS Roma with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Torino +2 @ 1.25

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.96 – 1.74 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	11.7%	10.2%	5.9%	2.6%
1	6.5%	11.2%	9.8%	5.7%	2.5%
2	3.1%	5.4%	4.7%	2.7%	1.2%
3	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Torino winDrawAS Roma win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Torino vs AS Roma comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Torino with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an AS Roma win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Torino 21%Draw 22%AS Roma 57%

21%22%57%

57%

AS Roma Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Torino and AS Roma. Wins shown from Torino’s perspective: Torino 1 · AS Roma 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-14	Torino	0 – 2	AS Roma	L
2026-01-18	Torino	0 – 2	AS Roma	L
2025-09-14	AS Roma	0 – 1	Torino	W
2025-05-25	Torino	0 – 2	AS Roma	L
2024-10-31	AS Roma	1 – 0	Torino	L

📈 Recent form

Torino

Torino come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to AS Roma.

DBologna 1-1 TorinoSerie A
LTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
WFiorentina 1-2 TorinoSerie A
LTorino 0-1 MonzaCoppa Italia
LSassuolo 2-1 TorinoSerie A

AS Roma

AS Roma come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Lecce. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DAS Roma 2-2 InterSerie A
WTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
DFenerbahçe 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Champions League
WAS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
WLecce 0-4 AS RomaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Torino

C. AdamsMuscle Injury
C. CasadeiRest
F. IsraelShoulder Injury
P. PellegriKnee Injury

AS Roma

M. BahKnee Injury
E. NdickaIllness

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Torino at 21% to win and AS Roma at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes an AS Roma win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AS Roma Win	57%	59%	@ 1.58
Draw	22%	24%	@ 3.80
Torino Win	21%	17%	@ 5.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AS Roma or Draw at 1.13 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AS Roma or Draw	80%	83%	@ 1.13
Torino or Draw	44%	41%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	74%	@ 1.27
Under 3.5	71%	71%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	51%	49%	@ 1.92
Under 2.5	49%	51%	@ 1.87
Over 3.5	29%	29%	@ 3.30
Under 1.5	25%	26%	@ 3.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	51%	@ 1.82
BTTS Yes	48%	49%	@ 1.92

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Torino or AS Roma is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
AS Roma +0.75	83%	86%	1.10
AS Roma +0.5	80%	83%	1.14
Torino +2	77%	76%	1.25
AS Roma +0.25	74%	81%	1.18
Torino +1.75	73%	68%	@ 1.40
Torino +1.5	68%	62%	@ 1.54
AS Roma 0	68%	79%	1.21
Torino +1.25	62%	57%	@ 1.69
AS Roma -0.25	62%	69%	1.38
AS Roma -0.5	56%	62%	1.54
Torino +1	56%	50%	@ 1.94
Torino +0.75	50%	43%	@ 2.20
AS Roma -0.75	50%	57%	1.69
AS Roma -1	44%	50%	1.94
Torino +0.5	44%	38%	@ 2.50
Torino +0.25	38%	31%	@ 3.10
AS Roma -1.25	38%	43%	2.21
Torino 0	32%	21%	@ 4.56
AS Roma -1.5	32%	38%	2.50
AS Roma -1.75	27%	32%	2.96
Torino -0.25	26%	19%	@ 5.07
AS Roma -2	23%	24%	3.94
Torino -0.5	20%	17%	@ 5.75
Torino -0.75	17%	14%	@ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

Torino 16%Draw 22%AS Roma 62%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torino vs AS Roma?

Our model's main pick is Torino with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Torino vs AS Roma?

Our model makes an AS Roma win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.7 scoreline for Torino vs AS Roma.

What is the predicted score for Torino vs AS Roma?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.96 for Torino and 1.74 for AS Roma. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Torino and AS Roma play?

Kick-off is Monday 14 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.