Mon 14 Sep5-3Finished

⚽ Serie A

Inter vs Udinese Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Inter vs Udinese in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 14 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Result: Inter 5-3 Udinese

Inter vs Udinese finished 5-3. Inter won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, an Inter win at 1.27, landed.

Inter face Udinese in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Monday 14 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Inter have 3 wins from their last 3, while Udinese have 1 win from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Inter won 4, Udinese won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter win the most likely result at 72%, projecting a 2.3-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Inter vs Udinese with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Inter Win @ 1.27
72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.30 – 0.97 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 8.7% 8.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
2 10.1% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
3 7.7% 7.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
4 4.4% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Projected score: 2-0
Inter winDrawUdinese win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Inter vs Udinese comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is an Inter win at odds 1.27, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 72%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Inter 72%Draw 15%Udinese 12%
72%15%12%
72%
Inter Win
63%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Inter and Udinese. Wins shown from Inter’s perspective: Inter 4 · Udinese 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-14 Inter 5 – 3 Udinese W
2026-01-17 Udinese 0 – 1 Inter W
2025-08-31 Inter 1 – 2 Udinese L
2025-03-30 Inter 2 – 1 Udinese W
2024-09-28 Udinese 2 – 3 Inter W

📈 Recent form

Inter

Inter come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-3 at home to Udinese. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Real Madrid.

  • DAS Roma 2-2 InterSerie A
  • WInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A
  • LReal Madrid 2-1 InterUEFA Champions League
  • WInter 3-2 NapoliSerie A
  • WCagliari 0-1 InterSerie A
Udinese

Udinese come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Venezia. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Cagliari.

  • LUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
  • LInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A
  • LUdinese 1-2 LazioSerie A
  • WUdinese 2-1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
  • WMonza 2-3 UdineseSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Inter
  • H. CalhanogluMuscle Injury
  • D. SpenceInjury
Udinese
  • J. ArizalaThigh Injury
  • M. PalmaMuscle Injury
  • J. PiotrowskiHeart Problems
  • O. SoletInjury
  • N. ZanioloThigh Injury
  • A. ZanoliKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Inter at 72% to win and Udinese at 12%, with the draw at 15%. Our model makes an Inter win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Inter Win 72% 74% @ 1.27
Draw 15% 17% @ 5.50
Udinese Win 12% 9% @ 10.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter or Draw at 1.04 (89% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Inter or Draw 89% 91% @ 1.04
Udinese or Draw 29% 26% @ 3.35

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 84% 80% @ 1.17
Over 2.5 63% 59% @ 1.56
Under 3.5 59% 62% @ 1.50
Over 3.5 41% 38% @ 2.50
Under 2.5 37% 41% @ 2.23
Under 1.5 16% 20% @ 4.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 56% 46% @ 1.98
BTTS No 44% 54% @ 1.70

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Inter or Udinese is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Inter 0 80% 86% 1.10
Inter -0.25 76% 83% 1.15
Inter -0.5 71% 75% 1.26
Inter -0.75 65% 74% 1.27
Udinese +2 63% 56% @ 1.70
Inter -1 59% 71% 1.34
Udinese +1.75 58% 49% @ 1.97
Inter -1.25 53% 62% 1.52
Udinese +1.5 52% 44% @ 2.16
Inter -1.5 47% 56% 1.70
Udinese +1.25 47% 38% @ 2.53
Inter -1.75 42% 51% 1.90
Udinese +1 41% 29% @ 3.27
Inter -2 37% 44% 2.17
Udinese +0.75 35% 26% @ 3.71
Udinese +0.5 29% 25% @ 3.87
Udinese +0.25 24% 17% @ 5.50
Udinese 0 20% 14% @ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

4%42%81%09/0909/1009/1109/1209/1309/14

Inter 76%Draw 16%Udinese 8%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter vs Udinese?

Our model's main pick is an Inter win at odds 1.27, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Inter vs Udinese?

Our model makes an Inter win the most likely result at 72%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.0 scoreline for Inter vs Udinese.

What is the predicted score for Inter vs Udinese?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.30 for Inter and 0.97 for Udinese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Inter and Udinese play?

Kick-off is Monday 14 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.