Tue 15 Sep0-1Finished

⚽ Premiership

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock in the Premiership. Kick-off Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Hibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock finished 0-1. Kilmarnock won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Kilmarnock Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.32, landed.

Hibernian face Kilmarnock in the Premiership, kicking off Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Hibernian have 2 wins from their last 5, while Kilmarnock have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Hibernian won 1, Kilmarnock won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Hibernian win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.8-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Kilmarnock Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.32

88%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.79 – 1.69 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	5.2%	4.4%	2.5%	1.0%
1	5.5%	9.3%	7.9%	4.4%	1.9%
2	4.9%	8.3%	7.0%	4.0%	1.7%
3	2.9%	5.0%	4.2%	2.4%	1.0%
4	1.3%	2.2%	1.9%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Hibernian winDrawKilmarnock win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Kilmarnock Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 88% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Hibernian win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

Hibernian 41%Draw 21%Kilmarnock 38%

41%21%38%

41%

Hibernian Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Hibernian and Kilmarnock. Wins shown from Hibernian’s perspective: Hibernian 1 · Kilmarnock 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-15	Hibernian	0 – 1	Kilmarnock	L
2026-04-04	Hibernian	3 – 0	Kilmarnock	W

📈 Recent form

Hibernian

Hibernian come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Ross County. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Kilmarnock.

DHibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
LHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
WRoss County 0-3 HibernianLeague Cup
LSt Johnstone 2-1 HibernianPremiership
LHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Hibernian. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to St Mirren.

DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 AberdeenLeague Cup
DAberdeen 0-0 KilmarnockPremiership
LKilmarnock 0-1 St MirrenPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hibernian at 41% to win and Kilmarnock at 38%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Hibernian win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hibernian Win	41%	59%	@ 1.55
Kilmarnock Win	38%	18%	@ 5.10
Draw	21%	22%	@ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hibernian or Draw at 1.15 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hibernian or Draw	64%	82%	@ 1.15
Kilmarnock or Draw	62%	41%	@ 2.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	82%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	68%	62%	@ 1.52
Under 3.5	54%	59%	@ 1.57
Over 3.5	46%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 2.5	32%	38%	@ 2.45
Under 1.5	14%	18%	@ 5.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	59%	@ 1.56
BTTS No	35%	41%	@ 2.25

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Hibernian or Kilmarnock is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kilmarnock +2	88%	72%	@ 1.32
Kilmarnock +1.75	86%	64%	@ 1.48
Kilmarnock +1.5	83%	59%	@ 1.62
Kilmarnock +1.25	78%	53%	@ 1.79
Kilmarnock +1	72%	47%	@ 2.06
Hibernian +0.75	69%	86%	1.10
Kilmarnock +0.75	67%	41%	@ 2.35
Hibernian +0.5	64%	83%	1.14
Kilmarnock +0.5	62%	37%	@ 2.59
Hibernian +0.25	58%	81%	1.17
Kilmarnock +0.25	56%	30%	@ 3.22
Hibernian 0	51%	79%	1.20
Kilmarnock 0	49%	21%	@ 4.54
Hibernian -0.25	44%	70%	1.35
Kilmarnock -0.25	42%	19%	@ 5.00
Hibernian -0.5	38%	63%	1.50
Kilmarnock -0.5	36%	17%	@ 5.75
Hibernian -0.75	33%	59%	1.61
Kilmarnock -0.75	31%	14%	@ 7.00
Hibernian -1	28%	53%	1.80
Hibernian -1.25	22%	47%	2.06
Hibernian -1.5	17%	41%	2.33
Hibernian -1.75	14%	36%	2.69
Hibernian -2	12%	28%	3.42

📈 How the market moved

Hibernian 63%Draw 21%Kilmarnock 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Our model's main pick is Kilmarnock Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 88% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Our model makes a Hibernian win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.7 scoreline for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock.

What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.79 for Hibernian and 1.69 for Kilmarnock. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hibernian and Kilmarnock play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.