⚽ UEFA Europa League

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Omonia Nicosia face Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 16:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Omonia Nicosia win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

79%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.48 – 1.44 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	7.8%	5.6%	2.7%	1.0%
1	8.0%	11.5%	8.3%	4.0%	1.4%
2	5.9%	8.5%	6.1%	2.9%	1.1%
3	2.9%	4.2%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.1%	1.6%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Omonia Nicosia winDrawCelta Vigo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates an Omonia Nicosia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Omonia Nicosia or Draw at odds 1.86 (+21.4% model value).

Best value

Omonia Nicosia or Draw at odds 1.86, 65% model probability, +21.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Omonia Nicosia 37%Draw 31%Celta Vigo 33%

37%31%33%

37%

Omonia Nicosia Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

+21.4%

Best value: Omonia Nicosia or Draw

📈 Recent form

Omonia Nicosia

Omonia Nicosia come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Aris. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Pafos.

WAris 1-4 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
LOmonia Nicosia 0-1 PafosSuper Cup
DOmonia Nicosia 0-0 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
WOmonia Nicosia 4-2 St. TruidenUEFA Europa League
LSt. Truiden 1-0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Athletic Club.

DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
LCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic ClubLa Liga
DValencia 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
LCelta Vigo 1-2 OsasunaLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Omonia Nicosia at 37% to win and Celta Vigo at 33%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes an Omonia Nicosia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Omonia Nicosia Win	37%	@ 4.00	+47.0%
Draw	31%	@ 3.50	+7.3%
Celta Vigo Win	33%	@ 1.92	-37.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Omonia Nicosia or Draw at 1.86 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Omonia Nicosia or Draw	65%	@ 1.86	+21.4%
Celta Vigo or Draw	61%	@ 1.24	-24.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	34%	@ 3.35	+12.2%
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.91	+6.7%
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.30	+2.5%
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.32	-12.2%
Under 2.5	44%	@ 1.84	-18.8%
Under 1.5	21%	@ 3.50	-26.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	59%	@ 1.76	+3.7%
BTTS No	41%	@ 1.96	-19.5%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Omonia Nicosia or Draw at 1.86 (+21.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?

Our model makes an Omonia Nicosia win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo.

What is the predicted score for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.48 for Omonia Nicosia and 1.44 for Celta Vigo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.