⚽ UEFA Europa League

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Olympiakos Piraeus face Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Olympiakos Piraeus win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 2.0-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.52

67%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.01 – 0.88 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	4.9%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
1	11.2%	9.8%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.2%	9.9%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
3	7.5%	6.6%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.8%	3.3%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Olympiakos Piraeus winDrawJagiellonia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.52, the selection our model is most confident in at 67%. On the match result, the model rates an Olympiakos Piraeus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.52, 67% model probability, +2.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Olympiakos Piraeus 54%Draw 27%Jagiellonia 19%

54%27%19%

54%

Olympiakos Piraeus Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

+2.1%

Best value: Under 3.5

📈 Recent form

Olympiakos Piraeus

Olympiakos Piraeus come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Larisa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DVolos NFC 1-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
WLarisa 0-4 Olympiakos PiraeusCup
WAsteras Tripolis 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
WOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 AtromitosSuper League 1
DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Champions League

Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Saburtalo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Lech Poznan.

WJagiellonia 2-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
LLech Poznan 2-1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
WRaków Częstochowa 2-5 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
WFC Iberia 1999 1-2 JagielloniaUEFA Europa League
WJagiellonia 4-0 SaburtaloUEFA Europa League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Olympiakos Piraeus at 54% to win and Jagiellonia at 19%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes an Olympiakos Piraeus win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Jagiellonia Win	19%	@ 8.50	+64.6%
Draw	27%	@ 4.90	+30.1%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win	54%	@ 1.36	-26.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Jagiellonia or Draw at 3.05 (44% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Jagiellonia or Draw	44%	@ 3.05	+35.7%
Olympiakos Piraeus or Draw	79%	@ 1.07	-15.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	45%	@ 2.33	+4.5%
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.80	+3.8%
Under 3.5	67%	@ 1.52	+2.1%
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.18	-7.5%
Over 2.5	55%	@ 1.58	-12.8%
Over 3.5	33%	@ 2.43	-20.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.85	-6.5%
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.86	-8.0%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.52, with 67% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?

Our model makes an Olympiakos Piraeus win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.9 scoreline for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia.

What is the predicted score for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.01 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 0.88 for Jagiellonia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Olympiakos Piraeus and Jagiellonia play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.