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⚽ Championship

West Ham vs QPR Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Ham vs QPR in the Championship. Kick-off Friday 09 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

West Ham face QPR in the Championship, kicking off Friday 09 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: West Ham have 4 wins from their last 5, while QPR have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Ham win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 2.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Ham vs QPR with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.53

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.60 – 1.07 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.5%	2.7%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
1	6.6%	7.1%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
2	8.6%	9.2%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
3	7.5%	8.0%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
4	4.9%	5.2%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

West Ham winDrawQPR win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for West Ham vs QPR comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a West Ham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

West Ham 55%Draw 25%QPR 20%

55%25%20%

55%

West Ham Win

71%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

West Ham

West Ham come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Wrexham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Fulham.

DMillwall 2-2 West HamChampionship
LWest Ham 2-3 FulhamLeague Cup
WWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
WBolton 2-3 West HamChampionship
WWest Ham 3-0 DerbyChampionship

QPR

QPR come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Cardiff. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Middlesbrough.

DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
LQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
WQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

West Ham

M. KanteSuspended (red card)
J. VeltmanMuscle Injury
A. AreolaCalf Injury
T. SoucekAnkle Injury

QPR

I. ChairMuscle Injury
D. CirkinSuspended (red card)
K. DembeleKnee Injury
B. KemperAnkle Injury
R. KoneMuscle Injury
T. LampteyMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices West Ham at 55% to win and QPR at 20%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a West Ham win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Ham Win	55%	62%	@ 1.53
Draw	25%	22%	@ 4.20
QPR Win	20%	16%	@ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is West Ham or Draw at 1.12 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Ham or Draw	79%	84%	@ 1.12
QPR or Draw	45%	38%	@ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	71%	62%	@ 1.53
Under 3.5	50%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	50%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 2.5	29%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	12%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	60%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	40%	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

West Ham 63%Draw 21%QPR 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Ham vs QPR?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

Who is the favourite for West Ham vs QPR?

Our model makes a West Ham win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 2.6-1.1 scoreline for West Ham vs QPR.

What is the predicted score for West Ham vs QPR?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.60 for West Ham and 1.07 for QPR. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do West Ham and QPR play?

Kick-off is Friday 09 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.