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⚽ Premier League

Hull City vs Everton Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hull City vs Everton in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Hull City face Everton in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Hull City have 2 wins from their last 5, while Everton have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Hull City win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hull City vs Everton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.33
74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.14 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.4% 8.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5%
1 10.8% 12.3% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8%
2 7.9% 9.1% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6%
3 3.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Hull City winDrawEverton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hull City vs Everton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Hull City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Hull City 37%Draw 30%Everton 33%
37%30%33%
37%
Hull City Win
52%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Hull City

Hull City come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Coventry. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Newcastle.

  • LNewcastle 2-1 Hull CityPremier League
  • DChelsea 2-2 Hull CityPremier League
  • LSunderland 1-0 Hull CityLeague Cup
  • DHull City 0-0 Aston VillaPremier League
  • WCoventry 0-1 Hull CityPremier League
Everton

Everton come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ipswich.

  • WEverton 1-0 IpswichPremier League
  • WEverton 1-0 WolvesLeague Cup
  • DTottenham 0-0 EvertonPremier League
  • DEverton 2-2 Manchester UnitedPremier League
  • DBournemouth 1-1 EvertonPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hull City at 37% to win and Everton at 33%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Hull City win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Hull City Win 37% 26% @ 3.70
Everton Win 33% 46% @ 2.05
Draw 30% 28% @ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hull City or Draw at 1.73 (65% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Hull City or Draw 65% 54% @ 1.73
Everton or Draw 61% 74% @ 1.28

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 74% 72% @ 1.33
Under 3.5 73% 75% @ 1.28
Under 2.5 52% 55% @ 1.73
Over 2.5 48% 45% @ 2.10
Over 3.5 27% 25% @ 3.75
Under 1.5 26% 28% @ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 52% 50% @ 1.91
BTTS No 48% 50% @ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

22%36%51%10/0610/0710/08

Hull City 26%Draw 28%Everton 47%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hull City vs Everton?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Everton?

Our model makes a Hull City win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for Hull City vs Everton.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Everton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for Hull City and 1.14 for Everton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hull City and Everton play?

Kick-off is Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.