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⚽ Premier League

Coventry vs Newcastle Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Coventry vs Newcastle in the Premier League. Kick-off Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Coventry face Newcastle in the Premier League, kicking off Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Coventry have 1 win from their last 5, while Newcastle have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Newcastle win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.7-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Coventry vs Newcastle with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Newcastle or Draw @ 1.33

63%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 1.49 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	6.1%	4.6%	2.3%	0.8%
1	7.0%	10.4%	7.8%	3.9%	1.4%
2	5.9%	8.9%	6.6%	3.3%	1.2%
3	3.4%	5.0%	3.7%	1.9%	0.7%
4	1.4%	2.1%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Coventry winDrawNewcastle win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Coventry vs Newcastle comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Newcastle or Draw at odds 1.33, with a 63% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Newcastle win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Coventry 36%Draw 27%Newcastle 36%

36%27%36%

36%

Newcastle Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Coventry

Coventry come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Nottingham Forest. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Aston Villa.

WNottingham Forest 0-1 CoventryPremier League
LCoventry 1-3 Aston VillaLeague Cup
LCoventry 0-5 BrightonPremier League
LManchester City 1-0 CoventryPremier League
LCoventry 0-1 Hull CityPremier League

Newcastle

Newcastle come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Tottenham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Leeds.

WNewcastle 2-1 Hull CityPremier League
LLeeds 4-1 NewcastlePremier League
WMillwall 0-1 NewcastleLeague Cup
DNewcastle 2-2 BournemouthPremier League
WTottenham 0-2 NewcastlePremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Coventry at 36% to win and Newcastle at 36%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Newcastle win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Newcastle Win	36%	46%	@ 2.05
Coventry Win	36%	28%	@ 3.40
Draw	27%	26%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Newcastle or Draw at 1.33 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Newcastle or Draw	63%	72%	@ 1.33
Coventry or Draw	63%	54%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	79%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	62%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 3.5	60%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 3.5	40%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 2.5	38%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	17%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	37%	41%	@ 2.25

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coventry vs Newcastle?

Our model's main pick is Newcastle or Draw at odds 1.33, with a 63% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Coventry vs Newcastle?

Our model makes a Newcastle win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline for Coventry vs Newcastle.

What is the predicted score for Coventry vs Newcastle?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Coventry and 1.49 for Newcastle. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Coventry and Newcastle play?

Kick-off is Monday 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.