Sparta Praha

Thu 15 Oct16:45Upcoming

Lillestrom

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sparta Praha face Lillestrom in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Sparta Praha win the most likely result at 69%, implying a 2.2-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Sparta Praha win	69%
Draw	18%
Lillestrom win	13%
Over 2.5 goals	60%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.25 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.5%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
1	10.1%	8.6%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%
2	11.4%	9.7%	4.1%	1.2%	0.2%
3	8.6%	7.3%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
4	4.8%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Sparta Praha winDrawLillestrom win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Sparta Praha win is the most likely result at 69%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Sparta Praha 69%Draw 18%Lillestrom 13%

69%18%13%

69%

Sparta Praha Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Sparta Praha

Sparta Praha come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Sigma Olomouc. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSparta Praha 2-0 PardubiceCzech Liga
WSparta Praha 5-3 Vysočina JihlavaFriendlies Clubs
WSigma Olomouc 0-3 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
WArarat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League
WSparta Praha 2-0 FK JablonecCzech Liga

Lillestrom

Lillestrom come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at Bærum. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Viking.

DLillestrom 2-2 MoldeEliteserien
WBærum 1-5 LillestromNM Cupen
LViking 3-0 LillestromEliteserien
LLillestrom 1-2 TorreenseUEFA Europa League
WLillestrom 2-0 ValerengaEliteserien

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Sparta Praha

M. AndersenKnee Injury
E. CobbautGroin Injury
A. KarabecAnkle Injury
O. PenxaKnee Injury
M. RynesAnkle Injury
E. UchennaGroin Injury
J. AlcocerHealth problems
L. Mbe SohHealth problems

Lillestrom

E. B. GarnasKnee Injury
C. JebaraInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sparta Praha at 69% to win and Lillestrom at 13%, with the draw at 18%. The bookmaker market makes a Sparta Praha win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Sparta Praha Win	69%	@ 1.33
Draw	18%	@ 5.00
Lillestrom Win	13%	@ 7.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sparta Praha or Draw at 1.10 (87% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Sparta Praha or Draw	87%	@ 1.10
Lillestrom or Draw	31%	@ 3.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.2-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	60%	@ 1.57
Under 3.5	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	40%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Sparta Praha 69%Draw 18%Lillestrom 13%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Sparta Praha win is the most likely result at 69%.

Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?

Our model makes a Sparta Praha win the most likely result at 69%. It projects an expected 2.2-0.8 scoreline for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom.

What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.25 for Sparta Praha and 0.85 for Lillestrom. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sparta Praha and Lillestrom play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.