Jagiellonia

Thu 15 Oct19:00Upcoming

Ararat-Armenia

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Jagiellonia face Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Jagiellonia have 3 wins from their last 5, while Ararat-Armenia have 1 win from their last 3. The bookmaker market makes a Jagiellonia win the most likely result at 66%, implying a 2.1-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Jagiellonia win	66%
Draw	20%
Ararat-Armenia win	13%
Over 2.5 goals	59%
Both teams to score	52%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.15 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	4.2%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
1	10.7%	9.1%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.5%	9.8%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	8.2%	7.0%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	4.4%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Jagiellonia winDrawArarat-Armenia win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Jagiellonia win is the most likely result at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 59%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Jagiellonia 66%Draw 20%Ararat-Armenia 13%

66%20%13%

66%

Jagiellonia Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Suduva Marijampole. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Gornik Zabrze.

LJagiellonia 1-3 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
LJagiellonia 1-2 Polonia WarszawaFriendlies Clubs
WJagiellonia 5-0 Suduva MarijampoleFriendlies Clubs
LJagiellonia 1-3 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
LOlympiakos Piraeus 2-1 JagielloniaUEFA Europa League

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Ararat. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at home to Sparta Praha.

DArarat-Armenia 1-1 AlashkertPremier League
WArarat 0-4 Ararat-ArmeniaFriendlies Clubs
WShirak 1-3 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
LArarat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League
WArarat-Armenia 3-0 SyunikPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Jagiellonia

D. DrachalOff the roster
C. PolakOff the roster
D. RallisOff the roster
N. WojtuszekNot in squad
Z. ZalewskiOff the roster

Ararat-Armenia

P. AyongoOff the roster

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Jagiellonia at 66% to win and Ararat-Armenia at 13%, with the draw at 20%. The bookmaker market makes a Jagiellonia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Jagiellonia Win	66%	@ 1.38
Draw	20%	@ 4.50
Ararat-Armenia Win	13%	@ 7.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Jagiellonia or Draw at 1.10 (87% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Jagiellonia or Draw	87%	@ 1.10
Ararat-Armenia or Draw	34%	@ 3.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.1-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	59%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	48%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Jagiellonia 68%Draw 19%Ararat-Armenia 13%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Jagiellonia win is the most likely result at 66%.

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our model makes a Jagiellonia win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 2.1-0.8 scoreline for Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.15 for Jagiellonia and 0.85 for Ararat-Armenia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Jagiellonia and Ararat-Armenia play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.