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Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Brighton face Kauno Žalgiris in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Brighton win the most likely result at 91%, implying a 3.7-0.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Brighton win 91%
Draw 6%
Kauno Žalgiris win 2%
Over 2.5 goals 78%
Both teams to score 34%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 3.70 – 0.45 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.8% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
4 12.3% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Projected score: 3-0
Brighton winDrawKauno Žalgiris win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Brighton win is the most likely result at 91%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 78%. Both teams to score: no at 66%.

📊 Key numbers

Brighton 91%Draw 6%Kauno Žalgiris 2%
91%
91%
Brighton Win
78%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Brighton

Brighton come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Coventry. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WSunderland 0-2 BrightonPremier League
  • WBrighton 3-0 ArsenalPremier League
  • WManchester United 2-3 BrightonLeague Cup
  • WCoventry 0-5 BrightonPremier League
  • DBrighton 1-1 LeedsPremier League
Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Suduva Marijampole. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

  • WMinija 0-3 Kauno ŽalgirisCup
  • WŠiauliai 0-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
  • LFK Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
  • WPanevėžys 0-1 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
  • WKauno Žalgiris 5-1 Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Brighton at 91% to win and Kauno Žalgiris at 2%, with the draw at 6%. The bookmaker market makes a Brighton win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Brighton Win 91% @ 1.04
Draw 6% @ 15.00
Kauno Žalgiris Win 2% @ 41.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kauno Žalgiris or Draw at 13.00 (9% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Kauno Žalgiris or Draw 9% @ 13.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 3.7-0.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 91% @ 1.05
Over 2.5 78% @ 1.20
Over 3.5 62% @ 1.50
Under 3.5 38% @ 2.50
Under 2.5 22% @ 4.33
Under 1.5 9% @ 11.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 66%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 66% @ 1.40
BTTS Yes 34% @ 2.75

📈 How the market moved

0%48%96%10/1010/1110/1210/13

Brighton 92%Draw 5%Kauno Žalgiris 2%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Brighton win is the most likely result at 91%.

Who is the favourite for Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Our model makes a Brighton win the most likely result at 91%. It projects an expected 3.7-0.5 scoreline for Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris.

What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 3-0, based on expected goals of 3.70 for Brighton and 0.45 for Kauno Žalgiris. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Brighton and Kauno Žalgiris play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.