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Pafos

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Atalanta vs Pafos Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atalanta vs Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Atalanta face Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes an Atalanta win the most likely result at 67%, implying a 2.2-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atalanta vs Pafos with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Atalanta win	67%
Draw	20%
Pafos win	12%
Over 2.5 goals	60%
Both teams to score	52%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.20 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	10.4%	8.9%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.5%	9.7%	4.1%	1.2%	0.2%
3	8.4%	7.1%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
4	4.6%	3.9%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Atalanta winDrawPafos win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Atalanta vs Pafos. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Atalanta win is the most likely result at 67%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: yes at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Atalanta 67%Draw 20%Pafos 12%

67%20%12%

67%

Atalanta Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Atalanta

Atalanta come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Bologna. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Juventus.

LJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
LAtalanta 1-2 CagliariSerie A
LAS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
WAtalanta 1-0 BolognaSerie A
WHapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference

Pafos

Pafos come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Anorthosis. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to AEL.

WAnorthosis 1-3 Pafos1. Division
LPafos 0-2 AEL1. Division
WAEK Larnaca 0-1 Pafos1. Division
DPafos 0-0 Olympiakos1. Division
WOmonia Nicosia 0-1 PafosSuper Cup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Atalanta at 67% to win and Pafos at 12%, with the draw at 20%. The bookmaker market makes an Atalanta win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Atalanta Win	67%	@ 1.36
Draw	20%	@ 4.50
Pafos Win	12%	@ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atalanta or Draw at 1.10 (88% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Atalanta or Draw	88%	@ 1.10
Pafos or Draw	33%	@ 2.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.2-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	60%	@ 1.57
Under 3.5	59%	@ 1.57
Over 3.5	41%	@ 2.25
Under 2.5	40%	@ 2.35
Under 1.5	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	49%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Atalanta 68%Draw 20%Pafos 12%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Pafos?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Atalanta win is the most likely result at 67%.

Who is the favourite for Atalanta vs Pafos?

Our model makes an Atalanta win the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 2.2-0.8 scoreline for Atalanta vs Pafos.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Pafos?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.20 for Atalanta and 0.85 for Pafos. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Atalanta and Pafos play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.