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Olympiakos Piraeus

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Marseille face Olympiakos Piraeus in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Marseille win the most likely result at 44%, implying a 1.6-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Marseille win	44%
Draw	26%
Olympiakos Piraeus win	31%
Over 2.5 goals	57%
Both teams to score	59%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.65 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	6.7%	4.5%	2.0%	0.7%
1	8.2%	11.1%	7.5%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	9.1%	6.2%	2.8%	0.9%
3	3.7%	5.0%	3.4%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.5%	2.1%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Marseille winDrawOlympiakos Piraeus win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Marseille win is the most likely result at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 57%. Both teams to score: yes at 59%.

📊 Key numbers

Marseille 44%Draw 26%Olympiakos Piraeus 31%

44%26%31%

44%

Marseille Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Marseille

Marseille come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Paris Saint-Germain.

WEstac Troyes 0-2 MarseilleLigue 1
LMarseille 1-2 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
LBeşiktaş 4-1 MarseilleUEFA Europa League
LRennes 1-0 MarseilleLigue 1
LMarseille 2-3 Paris FCLigue 1

Olympiakos Piraeus

Olympiakos Piraeus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Panathinaikos. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to OFI.

WOlympiakos Piraeus 1-0 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
WLevadiakos 0-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
WOlympiakos Piraeus 2-1 JagielloniaUEFA Europa League
LOlympiakos Piraeus 0-1 OFISuper League 1
DVolos NFC 1-1 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Marseille

D. CorneliusHip Injury
P. HojbjergMuscle Injury

Olympiakos Piraeus

ClaytonOff the roster
A. El KaabiBroken Leg
B. PopovicOff the roster
L. ScipioniOff the roster
Y. YaziciKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Marseille at 44% to win and Olympiakos Piraeus at 31%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Marseille win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Marseille Win	44%	@ 2.10
Olympiakos Piraeus Win	31%	@ 3.00
Draw	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Marseille or Draw at 1.36 (69% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Marseille or Draw	69%	@ 1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus or Draw	56%	@ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Marseille 41%Draw 27%Olympiakos Piraeus 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Marseille win is the most likely result at 44%.

Who is the favourite for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Our model makes a Marseille win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.4 scoreline for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus.

What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.65 for Marseille and 1.35 for Olympiakos Piraeus. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.