⚽ UEFA Europa League
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
NEC Nijmegen face Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 50%, implying a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen win | 50% |
| Draw | 26% |
| Levski Sofia win | 24% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia. Based on the bookmaker odds, a NEC Nijmegen win is the most likely result at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 56%.
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
NEC Nijmegen come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Juventus.
- DAjax 1-1 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- LJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
- LCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
Levski Sofia come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Cherno More Varna. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Red Bull Salzburg.
- WCherno More Varna 0-2 Levski SofiaFirst League
- LLevski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
- LLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup
- WLevski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948First League
- LAEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- I. Hansen-AaroenOff the roster
- E. MorGroin Injury
- B. NuytinckAnkle Injury
- P. SandlerNot in squad
- A. TahauiOff the roster
- D. GeigerNot in squad
- K. SierhuisNot in squad
- A. BourasMuscle Injury
- R. KirilovKnee Injury
- M. SangareOff the roster
- N. SerafimovElbow Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices NEC Nijmegen at 50% to win and Levski Sofia at 24%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen Win | 50% | @ 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Levski Sofia Win | 24% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is NEC Nijmegen or Draw at 1.25 (76% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen or Draw | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Levski Sofia or Draw | 50% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 44% | @ 2.10 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a NEC Nijmegen win is the most likely result at 50%.
Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.15 for Levski Sofia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia play?
Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
RB Bragantinovs
CruzeiroBrazilian Série ATue 13 Oct00:00
Sabah FAvs
Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Lensvs
Sporting CPUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Arsenalvs
LilleUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Villarrealvs
NapoliUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Vikingvs
Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.