Tue 13 Oct18:45Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Wrexham vs West Brom Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Wrexham vs West Brom in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Wrexham face West Brom in the Championship, kicking off Tuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Wrexham have 2 wins from their last 5, while West Brom have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Wrexham win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Wrexham vs West Brom with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 1.21 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	11.4%	6.9%	2.8%	0.8%
1	10.9%	13.1%	7.9%	3.2%	1.0%
2	6.2%	7.6%	4.6%	1.8%	0.6%
3	2.4%	2.9%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Wrexham winDrawWest Brom win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Wrexham vs West Brom comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Wrexham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Wrexham 38%Draw 30%West Brom 32%

38%30%32%

38%

Wrexham Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Wrexham

Wrexham come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Southampton. Their only defeat in that run was 0-6 at West Ham.

DDerby 1-1 WrexhamChampionship
WWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship
LWest Ham 6-0 WrexhamChampionship
DWrexham 1-1 BurnleyChampionship
DSwansea 0-0 WrexhamChampionship

West Brom

West Brom come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Derby. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Birmingham.

LWest Brom 0-1 BirminghamChampionship
LWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
WDerby 0-1 West BromChampionship
WWest Brom 1-0 WatfordChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Wrexham

N. BroadheadThigh Injury
L. CacaceCalf Injury
M. CleworthMuscle Injury
G. ThomasonThigh Injury
S. RevanHamstring Injury

West Brom

N. GalvesKnee Injury
M. JohnstonBroken Leg

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Wrexham at 38% to win and West Brom at 32%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Wrexham win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Wrexham Win	38%	42%	@ 2.25
West Brom Win	32%	29%	@ 3.20
Draw	30%	29%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Wrexham or Draw at 1.36 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Wrexham or Draw	66%	71%	@ 1.36
West Brom or Draw	61%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	79%	73%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	68%	72%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	58%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	42%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	32%	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	21%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	49%	@ 1.91
BTTS Yes	48%	51%	@ 1.80

📈 How the market moved

Wrexham 42%Draw 28%West Brom 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 What our models say about this match

🔍 What our models say about this match

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	40%
Dixon-Coles	Away	41%
GradientBoosting	Home	40%

Two of our three models agree on the match result; the third sees it differently.

Expected goals: 1.35 for the home side, 1.24 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wrexham vs West Brom?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Wrexham vs West Brom?

Our model makes a Wrexham win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline for Wrexham vs West Brom.

What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs West Brom?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Wrexham and 1.21 for West Brom. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Wrexham and West Brom play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.