Wed 14 Oct18:45Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd in the Championship. Kick-off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Portsmouth face Sheffield Utd in the Championship, kicking off Wednesday 14 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Portsmouth have 1 win from their last 5, while Sheffield Utd have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Sheffield Utd won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.2-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.21 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	10.5%	6.9%	3.0%	1.0%
1	9.7%	12.8%	8.4%	3.6%	1.2%
2	5.9%	7.7%	5.1%	2.2%	0.7%
3	2.4%	3.1%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Portsmouth winDrawSheffield Utd win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Sheffield Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Portsmouth 30%Draw 34%Sheffield Utd 36%

30%34%36%

36%

Sheffield Utd Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd. Wins shown from Portsmouth’s perspective: 1 drawn · Sheffield Utd 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-02-08	Sheffield Utd	2 – 1	Portsmouth	L
2024-09-28	Portsmouth	0 – 0	Sheffield Utd	D

📈 Recent form

Portsmouth

Portsmouth come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cardiff. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Southampton.

LSouthampton 1-0 PortsmouthChampionship
DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
WPortsmouth 2-0 CardiffChampionship
LPortsmouth 0-2 DerbyChampionship

Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Lincoln. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Stoke City.

WSheffield Utd 3-0 LincolnChampionship
LStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LFleetwood Town 1-0 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
LSheffield Utd 0-1 WolvesChampionship
WBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Portsmouth

L. Brooke-SmithAnkle Injury
M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury
J. MurphyGroin Injury
C. OgilvieKnee Injury
F. UmehHamstring Injury
T. WaddinghamAnkle Injury

Sheffield Utd

F. SerikiKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Portsmouth at 30% to win and Sheffield Utd at 36%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd Win	36%	29%	@ 3.20
Draw	34%	29%	@ 3.25
Portsmouth Win	30%	42%	@ 2.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sheffield Utd or Draw at 1.62 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sheffield Utd or Draw	66%	58%	@ 1.62
Portsmouth or Draw	60%	71%	@ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 1.5	72%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	54%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	46%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	28%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	25%	28%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	49%	44%	@ 2.10

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?

Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.21 for Portsmouth and 1.31 for Sheffield Utd. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 14 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.