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⚽ Premier League

Brentford vs Liverpool Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brentford vs Liverpool in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Brentford face Liverpool in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Brentford have 1 win from their last 5, while Liverpool have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Brentford won 1, Liverpool won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brentford vs Liverpool with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Liverpool or Draw @ 1.53

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 1.77 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	6.2%	5.5%	3.2%	1.4%
1	5.5%	9.8%	8.7%	5.1%	2.3%
2	4.4%	7.8%	6.9%	4.0%	1.8%
3	2.3%	4.1%	3.6%	2.1%	0.9%
4	0.9%	1.6%	1.4%	0.8%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Brentford winDrawLiverpool win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Brentford vs Liverpool comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Liverpool or Draw at odds 1.53, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Liverpool win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Brentford 32%Draw 29%Liverpool 39%

32%29%39%

39%

Liverpool Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Brentford and Liverpool. Wins shown from Brentford’s perspective: Brentford 1 · 1 drawn · Liverpool 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-24	Liverpool	1 – 1	Brentford	D
2025-10-25	Brentford	3 – 2	Liverpool	W
2025-01-18	Brentford	0 – 2	Liverpool	L
2024-08-25	Liverpool	2 – 0	Brentford	L
2024-02-17	Brentford	1 – 4	Liverpool	L

📈 Recent form

Brentford

Brentford come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Chelsea. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DAston Villa 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
WBrentford 3-0 ChelseaPremier League
WReading 1-2 BrentfordLeague Cup
DBournemouth 2-2 BrentfordPremier League
DBrentford 1-1 SunderlandPremier League

Liverpool

Liverpool come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Tottenham. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Manchester City.

LLiverpool 0-3 Manchester CityPremier League
WBournemouth 0-1 LiverpoolPremier League
WLiverpool 3-1 TottenhamLeague Cup
DLiverpool 0-0 FulhamPremier League
WLiverpool 2-1 Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Brentford at 32% to win and Liverpool at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Liverpool Win	39%	36%	@ 2.60
Brentford Win	32%	39%	@ 2.38
Draw	29%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Liverpool or Draw at 1.53 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Liverpool or Draw	66%	61%	@ 1.53
Brentford or Draw	60%	64%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	65%	62%	@ 1.53
Under 3.5	57%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 3.5	43%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 2.5	35%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	15%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	34%	38%	@ 2.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brentford vs Liverpool?

Our model's pick is Liverpool or Draw at odds 1.53, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Liverpool?

Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.8 scoreline for Brentford vs Liverpool.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Liverpool?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Brentford and 1.77 for Liverpool. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Brentford and Liverpool play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.