⚽ Major League Soccer
Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Atlanta United FC 1-3 Inter Miami
Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami finished 1-3. Inter Miami won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Atlanta United FC face Inter Miami in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Atlanta United FC have 1 win from their last 5, while Inter Miami have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 2, Inter Miami won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.8-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points yes (72%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Atlanta United FC and Inter Miami. Wins shown from Atlanta United FC’s perspective: Atlanta United FC 2 · 1 drawn · Inter Miami 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Atlanta United FC | 1 – 3 | Inter Miami | L |
| 2026-09-05 | Inter Miami | 2 – 2 | Atlanta United FC | D |
| 2024-11-10 | Inter Miami | 2 – 3 | Atlanta United FC | W |
| 2024-11-02 | Atlanta United FC | 2 – 1 | Inter Miami | W |
| 2024-10-26 | Inter Miami | 2 – 1 | Atlanta United FC | L |
📈 Recent form
Atlanta United FC come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at CF Montreal. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Inter Miami.
- LAtlanta United FC 1-3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 1-3 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DAtlanta United FC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- WPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Inter Miami come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to DC United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Columbus Crew.
- WAtlanta United FC 1-3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- WInter Miami 2-0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- WInter Miami 4-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 2-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- D. ChicaKnee Injury
- W. ReillyAnkle Injury
- T. AllendeKnee Injury
- Y. BrightFoot Injury
- F. CaicedoLower-Body Injury
- M. SilvettiInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Atlanta United FC at 25% to win and Inter Miami at 51%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami Win | 51% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Atlanta United FC Win | 25% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter Miami or Draw at 1.30 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami or Draw | 75% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Atlanta United FC or Draw | 50% | 51% | @ 1.83 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 88% | @ 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 | 45% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | 12% | @ 8.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 72%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 72% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 28% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Atlanta United FC or Inter Miami is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami +1.5 | 91% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Inter Miami +1.25 | 87% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Inter Miami +1 | 83% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Atlanta United FC +2 | 81% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Inter Miami +0.75 | 79% | 77% | 1.23 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.75 | 77% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Inter Miami +0.5 | 75% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.5 | 74% | 69% | @ 1.38 |
| Inter Miami +0.25 | 69% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.25 | 68% | 66% | 1.43 |
| Inter Miami 0 | 63% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Atlanta United FC +1 | 62% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Inter Miami -0.25 | 57% | 56% | 1.71 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.75 | 56% | 55% | 1.72 |
| Inter Miami -0.5 | 50% | 50% | 1.93 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.5 | 50% | 50% | 1.92 |
| Inter Miami -0.75 | 44% | 45% | 2.14 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.25 | 43% | 44% | 2.17 |
| Inter Miami -1 | 38% | 38% | 2.50 |
| Atlanta United FC 0 | 37% | 37% | 2.61 |
| Inter Miami -1.25 | 32% | 34% | 2.81 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.25 | 31% | 32% | 2.98 |
| Inter Miami -1.5 | 27% | 31% | 3.09 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.5 | 25% | 28% | 3.37 |
| Inter Miami -1.75 | 23% | 25% | 3.70 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.75 | 21% | 23% | 4.10 |
| Inter Miami -2 | 19% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Atlanta United FC -1 | 17% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Atlanta United FC -1.25 | 13% | 16% | 6.00 |
| Atlanta United FC -1.5 | 9% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?
Our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?
Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.8-2.1 scoreline for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.78 for Atlanta United FC and 2.15 for Inter Miami. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Atlanta United FC and Inter Miami play?
Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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