⚽ Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Houston Dynamo 2-2 FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Houston Dynamo face FC Dallas in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Houston Dynamo have 1 win from their last 5, while FC Dallas have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FC Dallas won 1, 4 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Houston Dynamo with a +0.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas. Wins shown from Houston Dynamo’s perspective: 4 drawn · FC Dallas 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Houston Dynamo | 2 – 2 | FC Dallas | D |
| 2024-05-19 | Houston Dynamo | 1 – 1 | FC Dallas | D |
| 2024-04-28 | FC Dallas | 2 – 0 | Houston Dynamo | L |
| 2023-10-01 | Houston Dynamo | 0 – 0 | FC Dallas | D |
| 2023-05-21 | FC Dallas | 1 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | D |
📈 Recent form
Houston Dynamo come into this game with no wins and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Sporting Kansas City.
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- DSan Diego 3-3 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- DMinnesota United FC 2-2 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- LHouston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
FC Dallas come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Seattle Sounders. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Charlotte.
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 1-0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- LCharlotte 3-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Felipe AndradeInjury
- J. MaurerConcussion
- L. FarringtonLower-Body Injury
- Geovane JesusKnee Injury
- A. A. Julio SantosLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Houston Dynamo at 46% to win and FC Dallas at 27%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo Win | 46% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| FC Dallas Win | 27% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Houston Dynamo or Draw at 1.36 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo or Draw | 72% | 74% | @ 1.36 |
| FC Dallas or Draw | 53% | 53% | @ 1.57 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 | 72% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 46% | @ 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 25% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 47% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Houston Dynamo or FC Dallas is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo +1.5 | 89% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Houston Dynamo +1.25 | 85% | 83% | 1.14 |
| FC Dallas +2 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Houston Dynamo +1 | 81% | 82% | 1.16 |
| FC Dallas +1.75 | 80% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.75 | 77% | – | 1.25 |
| FC Dallas +1.5 | 76% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.5 | 72% | – | 1.37 |
| FC Dallas +1.25 | 70% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.25 | 66% | – | 1.47 |
| FC Dallas +1 | 65% | – | 1.33 |
| Houston Dynamo 0 | 60% | – | 1.62 |
| FC Dallas +0.75 | 59% | 63% | 1.52 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.25 | 53% | 53% | 1.82 |
| FC Dallas +0.5 | 53% | 57% | 1.70 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.5 | 47% | 43% | @ 2.21 |
| FC Dallas +0.25 | 47% | 47% | 2.03 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.75 | 41% | 37% | @ 2.58 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.25 | 30% | 26% | @ 3.73 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.5 | 24% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.75 | 20% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| FC Dallas -1 | 19% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Houston Dynamo -2 | 17% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| FC Dallas -1.25 | 15% | 17% | 5.75 |
| FC Dallas -1.5 | 11% | 16% | 6.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
Our model's pick is Houston Dynamo with a +0.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 80%.
Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.41 for Houston Dynamo and 1.27 for FC Dallas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas play?
Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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