ENFR
Sun 18 Oct13:00Upcoming

⚽ Serie A

Fiorentina vs Como Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fiorentina vs Como in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Fiorentina face Como in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Fiorentina have 1 win from their last 5, while Como have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Fiorentina won 2, Como won 2. The bookmaker market makes a Como win the most likely result at 48%, implying a 1.2-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fiorentina vs Como with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Fiorentina win 25%
Draw 27%
Como win 48%
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.20 – 1.75 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.2% 9.2% 8.0% 4.7% 2.0%
1 6.3% 11.0% 9.6% 5.6% 2.5%
2 3.8% 6.6% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5%
3 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Fiorentina winDrawComo win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Fiorentina vs Como. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Como win is the most likely result at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 57%. Both teams to score: yes at 59%.

📊 Key numbers

Fiorentina 25%Draw 27%Como 48%
25%27%48%
48%
Como Win
57%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Fiorentina and Como. Wins shown from Fiorentina’s perspective: Fiorentina 2 · Como 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-02-14 Como 1 – 2 Fiorentina W
2025-09-21 Fiorentina 1 – 2 Como L
2025-02-16 Fiorentina 0 – 2 Como L
2024-11-24 Como 0 – 2 Fiorentina W

📈 Recent form

Fiorentina

Fiorentina come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Pisa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Genoa.

  • LGenoa 2-1 FiorentinaSerie A
  • DFiorentina 1-1 NapoliSerie A
  • WFiorentina 3-0 PisaCoppa Italia
  • WVenezia 2-4 FiorentinaSerie A
  • LFiorentina 1-2 TorinoSerie A
Como

Como come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to RB Leipzig. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Frosinone.

  • DComo 0-0 AS RomaSerie A
  • LFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
  • WComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A
  • WComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
  • WGenoa 1-4 ComoSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fiorentina
  • R. SottilBack Injury
Como

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fiorentina at 25% to win and Como at 48%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Como win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Como Win 48% @ 1.95
Draw 27% @ 3.50
Fiorentina Win 25% @ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Como or Draw at 1.25 (75% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Como or Draw 75% @ 1.25
Fiorentina or Draw 52% @ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 79% @ 1.20
Under 3.5 64% @ 1.50
Over 2.5 57% @ 1.67
Under 2.5 43% @ 2.20
Over 3.5 36% @ 2.62
Under 1.5 21% @ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 59% @ 1.57
BTTS No 41% @ 2.25

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Como?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Como win is the most likely result at 48%.

Who is the favourite for Fiorentina vs Como?

Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.8 scoreline for Fiorentina vs Como.

What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Como?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Fiorentina and 1.75 for Como. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fiorentina and Como play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.