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⚽ Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bayer Leverkusen face SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: Bayer Leverkusen have 3 wins from their last 5, while SC Freiburg have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 3, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 55%, implying a 2.0-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Bayer Leverkusen win	55%
Draw	23%
SC Freiburg win	22%
Over 2.5 goals	64%
Both teams to score	62%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.05 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.7%	4.6%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%
1	7.6%	9.5%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
2	7.8%	9.7%	6.1%	2.5%	0.8%
3	5.3%	6.6%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%
4	2.7%	3.4%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Bayer Leverkusen winDrawSC Freiburg win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Bayer Leverkusen win is the most likely result at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 64%. Both teams to score: yes at 62%.

📊 Key numbers

Bayer Leverkusen 55%Draw 23%SC Freiburg 22%

55%23%22%

55%

Bayer Leverkusen Win

64%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Freiburg. Wins shown from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective: Bayer Leverkusen 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-07	SC Freiburg	3 – 3	Bayer Leverkusen	D
2025-10-26	Bayer Leverkusen	2 – 0	SC Freiburg	W
2025-05-04	SC Freiburg	2 – 2	Bayer Leverkusen	D
2024-12-21	Bayer Leverkusen	5 – 1	SC Freiburg	W
2024-03-17	SC Freiburg	2 – 3	Bayer Leverkusen	W

📈 Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Union Berlin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeUEFA Europa League
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union BerlinBundesliga

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Borussia Mönchengladbach. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
WSC Freiburg 4-2 FC LuzernFriendlies Clubs
DEintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
WSC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
WSC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bayer Leverkusen at 55% to win and SC Freiburg at 22%, with the draw at 23%. The bookmaker market makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen Win	55%	@ 1.70
Draw	23%	@ 4.10
SC Freiburg Win	22%	@ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.20 (78% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw	78%	@ 1.20
SC Freiburg or Draw	45%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.0-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	64%	@ 1.50
Under 3.5	57%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	43%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	38%	@ 2.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Bayer Leverkusen win is the most likely result at 55%.

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?

Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.2 scoreline for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg.

What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.05 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.25 for SC Freiburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bayer Leverkusen and SC Freiburg play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.