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⚽ Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

NEC Nijmegen face Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: NEC Nijmegen have no wins from their last 5, while Fortuna Sittard have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 2, Fortuna Sittard won 2, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 61%, implying a 2.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
NEC Nijmegen win	61%
Draw	22%
Fortuna Sittard win	18%
Over 2.5 goals	70%
Both teams to score	64%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.35 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.7%	3.4%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
1	6.4%	8.0%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
2	7.5%	9.4%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
3	5.9%	7.4%	4.6%	1.9%	0.6%
4	3.5%	4.3%	2.7%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

NEC Nijmegen winDrawFortuna Sittard win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard. Based on the bookmaker odds, a NEC Nijmegen win is the most likely result at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 70%. Both teams to score: yes at 64%.

📊 Key numbers

NEC Nijmegen 61%Draw 22%Fortuna Sittard 18%

61%22%18%

61%

NEC Nijmegen Win

70%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard. Wins shown from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective: NEC Nijmegen 2 · 1 drawn · Fortuna Sittard 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-28	NEC Nijmegen	2 – 3	Fortuna Sittard	L
2025-08-31	Fortuna Sittard	3 – 2	NEC Nijmegen	L
2025-01-19	NEC Nijmegen	4 – 1	Fortuna Sittard	W
2024-08-31	Fortuna Sittard	0 – 3	NEC Nijmegen	W
2024-04-02	Fortuna Sittard	1 – 1	NEC Nijmegen	D

📈 Recent form

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Juventus.

DAjax 1-1 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
LJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
LCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Genk. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-5 at home to Ajax.

DFortuna Sittard 1-1 TwenteEredivisie
WGenk 1-2 Fortuna SittardFriendlies Clubs
WWillem II 0-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LFortuna Sittard 1-5 AjaxEredivisie
WADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices NEC Nijmegen at 61% to win and Fortuna Sittard at 18%, with the draw at 22%. The bookmaker market makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
NEC Nijmegen Win	61%	@ 1.53
Draw	21%	@ 4.33
Fortuna Sittard Win	18%	@ 5.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is NEC Nijmegen or Draw at 1.17 (82% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
NEC Nijmegen or Draw	82%	@ 1.17
Fortuna Sittard or Draw	39%	@ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	@ 1.10
Over 2.5	70%	@ 1.36
Over 3.5	50%	@ 1.83
Under 3.5	50%	@ 1.83
Under 2.5	30%	@ 3.10
Under 1.5	14%	@ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	35%	@ 2.62

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a NEC Nijmegen win is the most likely result at 61%.

Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 2.4-1.2 scoreline for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard.

What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.35 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.25 for Fortuna Sittard. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.