⚽ Serie A
Parma vs Torino Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Parma vs Torino in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 19 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Parma 0-3 Torino
Parma vs Torino finished 0-3. Torino won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Torino to win or draw at 1.35, landed.
Parma face Torino in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Monday 19 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Parma have 1 win from their last 5, while Torino have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Parma won 1, Torino won 2, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Torino win the most likely result at 40%, implying a 1.0-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Parma vs Torino with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.9% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Parma vs Torino comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Torino to win or draw at odds 1.35, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Parma win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Parma and Torino. Wins shown from Parma’s perspective: Parma 1 · 2 drawn · Torino 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Parma | 0 – 3 | Torino | L |
| 2026-03-13 | Torino | 4 – 1 | Parma | L |
| 2025-09-29 | Parma | 2 – 1 | Torino | W |
| 2025-03-08 | Parma | 2 – 2 | Torino | D |
| 2025-01-05 | Torino | 0 – 0 | Parma | D |
📈 Recent form
Parma come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Genoa. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Torino.
- LParma 0-3 TorinoSerie A
- LInter 3-0 ParmaSerie A
- WParma 2-1 GenoaSerie A
- LComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A
- DParma 1-1 MonzaSerie A
Torino come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Parma. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to AS Roma.
- WParma 0-3 TorinoSerie A
- WTorino 2-1 UdineseSerie A
- DBologna 1-1 TorinoSerie A
- LTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
- WFiorentina 1-2 TorinoSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- P. AlmqvistCalf Injury
- N. ElphegeIllness
- H. Nicolussi CavigliaThigh Injury
- L. ValentiCoach's decision
- E. IlkhanMuscle Injury
- F. IsraelShoulder Injury
- N. FortiniThigh Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Parma at 36% to win and Torino at 33%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Parma win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma Win | 36% | 29% | @ 3.30 |
| Torino Win | 33% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 31% | @ 3.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Parma or Draw at 1.57 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma or Draw | 64% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Torino or Draw | 62% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 32% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 52% | 53% | @ 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 48% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Parma or Torino is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma +1.75 | 87% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Parma +1.5 | 85% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Torino +1.5 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Parma +1.25 | 80% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Torino +1.25 | 78% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Parma +1 | 75% | – | 1.25 |
| Torino +1 | 72% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Parma +0.75 | 70% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Torino +0.75 | 67% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Parma +0.5 | 64% | 60% | @ 1.60 |
| Torino +0.5 | 62% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Parma +0.25 | 58% | 53% | @ 1.82 |
| Torino +0.25 | 55% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Parma 0 | 51% | 42% | @ 2.27 |
| Torino 0 | 49% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Parma -0.25 | 45% | 35% | @ 2.75 |
| Torino -0.25 | 42% | 47% | 2.05 |
| Parma -0.5 | 38% | 30% | @ 3.21 |
| Torino -0.5 | 36% | 40% | 2.38 |
| Parma -0.75 | 33% | 23% | @ 4.16 |
| Torino -0.75 | 30% | 33% | 2.88 |
| Parma -1 | 28% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Parma -1.25 | 22% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Torino -1.25 | 20% | 21% | 4.60 |
| Parma -1.5 | 17% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Torino -1.5 | 15% | 20% | 4.80 |
| Torino -1.75 | 13% | 14% | 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Parma vs Torino?
Our main pick is Torino to win or draw at odds 1.35, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Parma vs Torino?
Our model makes a Parma win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.3 scoreline for Parma vs Torino.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Torino?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.04 for Parma and 1.27 for Torino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Parma and Torino play?
Kick-off is Monday 19 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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