⚽ La Liga
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga. Kick-off Monday 19 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Getafe with a +0.75 start at 1.35, landed.
Getafe face Rayo Vallecano in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Monday 19 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Getafe have 1 win from their last 5, while Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 2, 3 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely result at 36%, implying a 1.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.7% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Getafe with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Getafe win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 34%. Goals lean under 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points no (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Getafe and Rayo Vallecano. Wins shown from Getafe’s perspective: 3 drawn · Rayo Vallecano 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Getafe | 1 – 1 | Rayo Vallecano | D |
| 2026-05-03 | Getafe | 0 – 2 | Rayo Vallecano | L |
| 2026-01-02 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 – 1 | Getafe | D |
| 2025-05-02 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 – 0 | Getafe | L |
| 2024-08-24 | Getafe | 0 – 0 | Rayo Vallecano | D |
📈 Recent form
Getafe come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Málaga. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Barcelona.
- DGetafe 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- DUniversitatea Craiova 1-1 GetafeUEFA Europa Conference
- LBarcelona 3-0 GetafeLa Liga
- WGetafe 1-0 MálagaLa Liga
- LReal Betis 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
Rayo Vallecano come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Espanyol. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Real Madrid.
- DGetafe 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- DOsasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- WRayo Vallecano 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
- LReal Madrid 4-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
- WRayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- JuanmiKnee Injury
- O. MangalaMuscle Injury
- Z. RomeroMuscle Injury
- C. UcheKnee Injury
- I. AzonInjury
- A. GarciaInjury
- A. BatallaBroken calfbone
- Luiz FelipeKnee Injury
- A. RatiuInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Getafe at 34% to win and Rayo Vallecano at 34%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Getafe win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe Win | 34% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
| Rayo Vallecano Win | 34% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Draw | 32% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Getafe or Draw at 1.44 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe or Draw | 64% | 64% | @ 1.44 |
| Rayo Vallecano or Draw | 63% | 68% | @ 1.36 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 73% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 89% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 73% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 | 54% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 46% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 65% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 35% | 45% | @ 2.05 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Getafe or Rayo Vallecano is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe +1.5 | 84% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Rayo Vallecano +1.5 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Getafe +1.25 | 79% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Rayo Vallecano +1.25 | 78% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Getafe +1 | 74% | – | 1.20 |
| Rayo Vallecano +1 | 73% | – | 1.15 |
| Getafe +0.75 | 69% | 71% | 1.35 |
| Rayo Vallecano +0.75 | 68% | – | 1.27 |
| Getafe +0.5 | 64% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Rayo Vallecano +0.5 | 63% | 68% | 1.41 |
| Getafe +0.25 | 57% | 57% | 1.69 |
| Rayo Vallecano +0.25 | 56% | 62% | 1.54 |
| Getafe 0 | 50% | 47% | @ 2.07 |
| Rayo Vallecano 0 | 50% | 53% | 1.81 |
| Getafe -0.25 | 44% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Rayo Vallecano -0.25 | 43% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Getafe -0.5 | 37% | 32% | @ 2.96 |
| Rayo Vallecano -0.5 | 36% | 37% | 2.60 |
| Rayo Vallecano -0.75 | 31% | 29% | @ 3.24 |
| Getafe -1.25 | 22% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Rayo Vallecano -1.25 | 21% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Getafe -1.5 | 17% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Rayo Vallecano -1.5 | 16% | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our main pick is Getafe with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our model makes a Getafe win the most likely result at 34%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.1 scoreline for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.03 for Getafe and 1.11 for Rayo Vallecano. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Getafe and Rayo Vallecano play?
Kick-off is Monday 19 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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