⚽ Brazilian Série A
Corinthians vs Vitória Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Corinthians vs Vitória in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Monday 19 October 2026, 23:00 UTC.
Result: Corinthians 1-1 Vitória
Corinthians vs Vitória finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Corinthians face Vitória in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Monday 19 October 2026, 23:00 UTC. Recent form: Corinthians have no wins from their last 5, while Vitória have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Corinthians won 2, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Corinthians win the most likely result at 58%, implying a 1.7-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Corinthians vs Vitória with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 12.0% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Corinthians vs Vitória comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Vitória with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Corinthians win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Corinthians and Vitória. Wins shown from Corinthians’s perspective: Corinthians 2 · 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Corinthians | 1 – 1 | Vitória | D |
| 2026-04-18 | Vitória | 0 – 0 | Corinthians | D |
| 2024-11-09 | Vitória | 1 – 2 | Corinthians | W |
| 2024-07-04 | Corinthians | 3 – 2 | Vitória | W |
📈 Recent form
Corinthians come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Palmeiras.
- DCorinthians 1-1 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
- LPalmeiras 4-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
- LInternacional 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
- LCorinthians 1-3 FluminenseBrazilian Série A
- LCorinthians 0-1 Estudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores
Vitória come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Chapecoense. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at São Paulo.
- DCorinthians 1-1 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
- LSão Paulo 2-1 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
- WVitória 4-0 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
- LVitória 1-3 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
- DMirassol 2-2 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. DepaySuspended (cards)
- KaykeKnee Injury
- Z. LabyadKnee Injury
- BaralhasBroken Leg
- CacaSuspended (cards)
- CamutangaBroken Leg
- DuduBack Injury
- EduAchilles Tendon Injury
- FabianoKnee Injury
- Nathan MendesKnee Injury
- RamonLeg Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Corinthians at 51% to win and Vitória at 22%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Corinthians win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians Win | 51% | 58% | @ 1.65 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | @ 3.70 |
| Vitória Win | 22% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Corinthians or Draw at 1.12 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians or Draw | 76% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Vitória or Draw | 48% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 45% | @ 2.05 |
| BTTS No | 47% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Corinthians or Vitória is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória +2 | 80% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Corinthians +0.75 | 80% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Corinthians +0.5 | 76% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Vitória +1.75 | 76% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Vitória +1.5 | 72% | 67% | @ 1.43 |
| Corinthians +0.25 | 70% | 81% | 1.19 |
| Vitória +1.25 | 66% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Corinthians 0 | 64% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Vitória +1 | 60% | 55% | @ 1.72 |
| Corinthians -0.25 | 58% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Vitória +0.75 | 54% | 47% | @ 2.04 |
| Corinthians -0.5 | 52% | 58% | 1.63 |
| Vitória +0.5 | 48% | 42% | @ 2.29 |
| Corinthians -0.75 | 46% | 53% | 1.83 |
| Vitória +0.25 | 42% | 33% | @ 2.84 |
| Corinthians -1 | 40% | 45% | 2.13 |
| Vitória 0 | 36% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Corinthians -1.25 | 34% | 38% | 2.48 |
| Vitória -0.25 | 30% | 19% | @ 4.91 |
| Corinthians -1.5 | 28% | 33% | 2.83 |
| Corinthians -1.75 | 24% | 27% | 3.55 |
| Vitória -0.5 | 24% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Corinthians -2 | 20% | 20% | 4.80 |
| Vitória -0.75 | 20% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Vitória?
Our pick is Vitória with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Corinthians vs Vitória?
Our model makes a Corinthians win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.8 scoreline for Corinthians vs Vitória.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Vitória?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.68 for Corinthians and 0.78 for Vitória. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Corinthians and Vitória play?
Kick-off is Monday 19 October 2026, 23:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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