Jagiellonia

Thu 22 Oct19:00Upcoming

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Jagiellonia face Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Jagiellonia have 3 wins from their last 5, while Anderlecht have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Jagiellonia win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Jagiellonia or Draw @ 1.62

64%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	6.5%	5.0%	2.6%	1.0%
1	6.8%	10.5%	8.2%	4.2%	1.6%
2	5.5%	8.5%	6.6%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.0%	4.6%	3.6%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.2%	1.9%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Jagiellonia winDrawAnderlecht win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Jagiellonia or Draw at odds 1.62, with a 64% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Jagiellonia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Jagiellonia 35%Draw 30%Anderlecht 34%

35%30%34%

35%

Jagiellonia Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Suduva Marijampole. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Zaglebie Lubin.

LZaglebie Lubin 1-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
WJagiellonia 3-1 Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League
LJagiellonia 1-3 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
LJagiellonia 1-2 Polonia WarszawaFriendlies Clubs
WJagiellonia 5-0 Suduva MarijampoleFriendlies Clubs

Anderlecht

Anderlecht come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Zulte Waregem. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Beerschot VA.

LBeerschot VA 2-1 AnderlechtCup
LDinamo Zagreb 1-0 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League
WCercle Brugge 1-2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
WAnderlecht 3-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
LAnderlecht 1-2 LyonUEFA Europa League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Jagiellonia

D. DrachalOff the roster
C. PolakOff the roster
N. PrelecNot in squad
D. RallisOff the roster
N. WojtuszekNot in squad
Z. ZalewskiOff the roster

Anderlecht

G. BianconeHamstring Injury
I. CamaraFoot Injury
L. HeyBroken Leg
I. KoutsoupiasOff the roster
K. SardellaThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Jagiellonia at 35% to win and Anderlecht at 34%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Jagiellonia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Jagiellonia Win	35%	31%	@ 3.10
Anderlecht Win	34%	42%	@ 2.25
Draw	30%	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Jagiellonia or Draw at 1.62 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Jagiellonia or Draw	64%	58%	@ 1.62
Anderlecht or Draw	63%	69%	@ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	78%	@ 1.22
Over 2.5	61%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 3.5	61%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 3.5	39%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 2.5	39%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	18%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	38%	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

Jagiellonia 31%Draw 27%Anderlecht 42%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 What our models say about this match

🔍 What our models say about this match

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	44%
Dixon-Coles	Away	42%
GradientBoosting	Draw	36%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.31 for the home side, 1.28 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

Our model's pick is Jagiellonia or Draw at odds 1.62, with a 64% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

Our model makes a Jagiellonia win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for Jagiellonia and 1.55 for Anderlecht. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Jagiellonia and Anderlecht play?

Kick-off is Thursday 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.