Sat 24 Oct13:30Upcoming

⚽ Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

SC Paderborn 07 face Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: SC Paderborn 07 have 1 win from their last 5, while Hamburger SV have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a SC Paderborn 07 win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.53

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.43 – 1.06 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	8.8%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
1	11.9%	12.6%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.5%	9.0%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.0%	4.3%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

SC Paderborn 07 winDrawHamburger SV win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a SC Paderborn 07 win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (50%).

📊 Key numbers

SC Paderborn 07 47%Draw 30%Hamburger SV 23%

47%30%23%

47%

SC Paderborn 07 Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Hoffenheim. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to VfB Stuttgart.

DWerder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
LSC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
WDC United 0-1 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
WSC Paderborn 07 3-1 HoffenheimBundesliga
LBorussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to FC Copenhagen. Their only defeat in that run was 0-5 at RB Leipzig.

WHamburger SV 1-0 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
WHoffenheim 2-3 Hamburger SVBundesliga
WHamburger SV 2-0 FC CopenhagenFriendlies Clubs
WHamburger SV 2-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
LRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SC Paderborn 07 at 47% to win and Hamburger SV at 23%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a SC Paderborn 07 win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Paderborn 07 Win	47%	41%	@ 2.25
Draw	30%	25%	@ 3.70
Hamburger SV Win	23%	33%	@ 2.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SC Paderborn 07 or Draw at 1.40 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw	74%	67%	@ 1.40
Hamburger SV or Draw	51%	59%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 1.5	71%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 2.5	55%	40%	@ 2.38
Over 2.5	45%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 1.5	29%	19%	@ 5.00
Over 3.5	24%	38%	@ 2.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	50%	38%	@ 2.50
BTTS Yes	50%	62%	@ 1.50

📈 How the market moved

SC Paderborn 07 42%Draw 25%Hamburger SV 33%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

Our model makes a SC Paderborn 07 win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV.

What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.43 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.06 for Hamburger SV. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.