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⚽ Eredivisie

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Utrecht face PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: Utrecht have 3 wins from their last 5, while PEC Zwolle have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Utrecht won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Utrecht win the most likely result at 71%, projecting a 2.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Utrecht Win @ 1.67

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.28 – 1.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.8%	3.6%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
1	6.4%	8.3%	5.4%	2.3%	0.8%
2	7.2%	9.4%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	5.5%	7.2%	4.7%	2.0%	0.7%
4	3.1%	4.1%	2.7%	1.1%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Utrecht winDrawPEC Zwolle win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is an Utrecht win at odds 1.67, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Utrecht win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 71%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Utrecht 71%Draw 17%PEC Zwolle 12%

71%17%12%

71%

Utrecht Win

69%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Utrecht and PEC Zwolle. Wins shown from Utrecht’s perspective: Utrecht 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-22	Utrecht	1 – 1	PEC Zwolle	D
2025-08-31	PEC Zwolle	0 – 2	Utrecht	W
2025-02-01	PEC Zwolle	3 – 3	Utrecht	D
2024-08-11	Utrecht	1 – 0	PEC Zwolle	W
2024-04-03	Utrecht	5 – 1	PEC Zwolle	W

📈 Recent form

Utrecht

Utrecht come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Willem II. Their only defeat in that run was 0-5 at Feyenoord.

WTwente 1-2 UtrechtEredivisie
WUtrecht 3-1 Willem IIEredivisie
LFeyenoord 5-0 UtrechtEredivisie
WExcelsior 1-2 UtrechtEredivisie
DUtrecht 3-3 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Go Ahead Eagles. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Cambuur.

WPEC Zwolle 4-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 0-1 CambuurEredivisie
LGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 0-7 FeyenoordEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Utrecht at 71% to win and PEC Zwolle at 12%, with the draw at 17%. Our model makes an Utrecht win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Utrecht Win	71%	57%	@ 1.67
Draw	17%	23%	@ 4.10
PEC Zwolle Win	12%	20%	@ 4.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Utrecht or Draw at 1.17 (88% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Utrecht or Draw	88%	80%	@ 1.17
PEC Zwolle or Draw	30%	43%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	69%	64%	@ 1.48
Under 3.5	52%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	48%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	31%	36%	@ 2.60
Under 1.5	13%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	34%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

Utrecht 57%Draw 23%PEC Zwolle 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

Our model's pick is an Utrecht win at odds 1.67, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 57%.

Who is the favourite for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

Our model makes an Utrecht win the most likely result at 71%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.3 scoreline for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle.

What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.28 for Utrecht and 1.30 for PEC Zwolle. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Utrecht and PEC Zwolle play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.