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⚽ Eredivisie

Willem II vs Cambuur Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Willem II vs Cambuur in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Willem II face Cambuur in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. Recent form: Willem II have no wins from their last 5, while Cambuur have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Cambuur win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 1.3-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Willem II vs Cambuur with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Cambuur or Draw @ 1.50
79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.34 – 1.77 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.5% 7.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8%
1 6.0% 10.6% 9.4% 5.5% 2.4%
2 4.0% 7.1% 6.3% 3.7% 1.6%
3 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7%
4 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Willem II winDrawCambuur win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Willem II vs Cambuur comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Cambuur or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Cambuur win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Willem II 23%Draw 19%Cambuur 58%
23%19%58%
58%
Cambuur Win
60%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Willem II

Willem II come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Sparta Rotterdam.

  • LSparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem IIEredivisie
  • LUtrecht 3-1 Willem IIEredivisie
  • LWillem II 0-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
  • LAjax 5-1 Willem IIEredivisie
  • DAZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem IIEredivisie
Cambuur

Cambuur come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • DCambuur 2-2 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
  • WPEC Zwolle 0-1 CambuurEredivisie
  • DADO Den Haag 1-1 CambuurEredivisie
  • WCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
  • DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Willem II at 23% to win and Cambuur at 58%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Cambuur win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Cambuur Win 58% 37% @ 2.55
Willem II Win 23% 37% @ 2.55
Draw 19% 25% @ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cambuur or Draw at 1.50 (79% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Cambuur or Draw 79% 63% @ 1.50
Willem II or Draw 44% 63% @ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 82% 83% @ 1.14
Under 3.5 62% 56% @ 1.67
Over 2.5 60% 64% @ 1.48
Under 2.5 40% 36% @ 2.60
Over 3.5 38% 44% @ 2.10
Under 1.5 18% 17% @ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 61% 65% @ 1.44
BTTS No 39% 35% @ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

21%32%43%10/1910/2010/2110/22

Willem II 38%Draw 25%Cambuur 37%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Willem II vs Cambuur?

Our model's pick is Cambuur or Draw at odds 1.50, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.

Who is the favourite for Willem II vs Cambuur?

Our model makes a Cambuur win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.8 scoreline for Willem II vs Cambuur.

What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Cambuur?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.34 for Willem II and 1.77 for Cambuur. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Willem II and Cambuur play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.