Sat 24 Oct18:45Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Lens vs Paris FC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lens vs Paris FC in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lens face Paris FC in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Lens have 2 wins from their last 5, while Paris FC have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Lens won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lens win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lens vs Paris FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lens or Draw @ 1.40

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.54 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	7.8%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%
1	10.5%	12.0%	6.9%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.0%	9.3%	5.3%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.1%	4.8%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.6%	1.8%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Lens winDrawParis FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lens vs Paris FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Lens or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lens win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Lens 49%Draw 27%Paris FC 23%

49%27%23%

49%

Lens Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Lens and Paris FC. Wins shown from Lens’s perspective: Lens 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-14	Paris FC	0 – 5	Lens	W
2025-10-19	Lens	2 – 1	Paris FC	W

📈 Recent form

Lens

Lens come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Sporting CP.

WEstac Troyes 1-3 LensLigue 1
LLens 0-2 Sporting CPUEFA Champions League
WLens 2-1 LyonLigue 1
LMonaco 2-1 LensLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 LensLigue 1

Paris FC

Paris FC come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at home to Rennes. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Lorient.

WParis FC 4-3 RennesLigue 1
LLorient 1-0 Paris FCLigue 1
WParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
DParis FC 0-0 LyonLigue 1
WMarseille 2-3 Paris FCLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lens at 49% to win and Paris FC at 23%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Lens win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lens Win	49%	40%	@ 2.38
Draw	27%	27%	@ 3.50
Paris FC Win	23%	33%	@ 2.88

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lens or Draw at 1.40 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lens or Draw	75%	67%	@ 1.40
Paris FC or Draw	50%	60%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	72%	64%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	50%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	50%	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	28%	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	25%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	46%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

Lens 40%Draw 27%Paris FC 33%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lens vs Paris FC?

Our model's pick is Lens or Draw at odds 1.40, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Lens vs Paris FC?

Our model makes a Lens win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for Lens vs Paris FC.

What is the predicted score for Lens vs Paris FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.54 for Lens and 1.15 for Paris FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lens and Paris FC play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.