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⚽ La Liga

Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña in the La Liga. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Atlético Madrid face Deportivo La Coruña in the La Liga, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Atlético Madrid have 5 wins from their last 5, while Deportivo La Coruña have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Atlético Madrid win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 2.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.57

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.34 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.6%	3.4%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%
1	6.1%	8.0%	5.2%	2.3%	0.7%
2	7.1%	9.3%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	5.6%	7.3%	4.8%	2.1%	0.7%
4	3.2%	4.3%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Atlético Madrid winDrawDeportivo La Coruña win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Atlético Madrid win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Atlético Madrid 57%Draw 25%Deportivo La Coruña 18%

57%25%18%

57%

Atlético Madrid Win

71%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Manchester United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League
WEspanyol 0-1 Atlético MadridLa Liga
WAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League
WAlavés 1-2 Atlético MadridLa Liga
WAtlético Madrid 2-1 Real MadridLa Liga

Deportivo La Coruña

Deportivo La Coruña come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Real Sociedad.

DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 LevanteLa Liga
LReal Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 Real BetisLa Liga
LDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Atlético Madrid at 57% to win and Deportivo La Coruña at 18%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Atlético Madrid win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Atlético Madrid Win	57%	75%	@ 1.27
Draw	25%	17%	@ 5.75
Deportivo La Coruña Win	18%	9%	@ 11.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.05 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Atlético Madrid or Draw	81%	91%	@ 1.05
Deportivo La Coruña or Draw	42%	25%	@ 3.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	71%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 3.5	50%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 3.5	50%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 2.5	29%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	12%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	47%	@ 2.00
BTTS No	34%	53%	@ 1.75

📈 How the market moved

Atlético Madrid 75%Draw 16%Deportivo La Coruña 9%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?

Our model makes an Atlético Madrid win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.3 scoreline for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.34 for Atlético Madrid and 1.31 for Deportivo La Coruña. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Atlético Madrid and Deportivo La Coruña play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.