ENFR
Sat 24 Oct21:30Upcoming

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC.

Palmeiras face RB Bragantino in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC. Recent form: Palmeiras have 4 wins from their last 5, while RB Bragantino have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Palmeiras won 2, RB Bragantino won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Palmeiras win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.5-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.44
80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.54 – 0.78 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 9.8% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 15.1% 11.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2%
2 11.7% 9.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 6.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Palmeiras winDrawRB Bragantino win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Palmeiras win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean under 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Palmeiras 55%Draw 30%RB Bragantino 14%
55%30%14%
55%
Palmeiras Win
59%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Palmeiras and RB Bragantino. Wins shown from Palmeiras’s perspective: Palmeiras 2 · 2 drawn · RB Bragantino 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-04-26 RB Bragantino 0 – 1 Palmeiras W
2024-10-05 RB Bragantino 0 – 0 Palmeiras D
2024-06-21 Palmeiras 2 – 1 RB Bragantino W
2023-10-01 RB Bragantino 2 – 1 Palmeiras L
2023-05-13 Palmeiras 1 – 1 RB Bragantino D

📈 Recent form

Palmeiras

Palmeiras come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Corinthians. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at LDU de Quito.

  • WAthletico Paranaense 0-2 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
  • WPalmeiras 4-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
  • WPalmeiras 1-0 BahiaBrazilian Série A
  • DGrêmio 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
  • LLDU de Quito 3-2 PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores
RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Cruzeiro. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Atlético Mineiro.

  • DRemo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
  • WRB Bragantino 4-2 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
  • DRB Bragantino 1-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A
  • LAtlético Mineiro 1-0 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
  • LFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Palmeiras at 55% to win and RB Bragantino at 14%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Palmeiras win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Palmeiras Win 55% 61% @ 1.53
Draw 30% 24% @ 3.90
RB Bragantino Win 14% 15% @ 6.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Palmeiras or Draw at 1.12 (82% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Palmeiras or Draw 82% 85% @ 1.12
RB Bragantino or Draw 41% 39% @ 2.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 80% 66% @ 1.44
Over 1.5 67% 78% @ 1.22
Under 2.5 59% 45% @ 2.10
Over 2.5 41% 55% @ 1.70
Under 1.5 33% 22% @ 4.33
Over 3.5 20% 34% @ 2.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 57% 47% @ 2.00
BTTS Yes 43% 53% @ 1.75

📈 How the market moved

12%39%65%10/1910/2010/2110/22

Palmeiras 61%Draw 23%RB Bragantino 16%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino?

Our model makes a Palmeiras win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.5-0.8 scoreline for Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino.

What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.54 for Palmeiras and 0.78 for RB Bragantino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Palmeiras and RB Bragantino play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.