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⚽ Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

New York Red Bulls face Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC. Recent form: New York Red Bulls have 2 wins from their last 5, while Inter Miami have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 2, Inter Miami won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.6-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.25

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.60 – 2.09 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.5%	5.2%	5.5%	3.8%	2.0%
1	4.0%	8.4%	8.7%	6.1%	3.2%
2	3.2%	6.7%	7.0%	4.9%	2.5%
3	1.7%	3.6%	3.7%	2.6%	1.4%
4	0.7%	1.4%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-2

New York Red Bulls winDrawInter Miami win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points yes (69%).

📊 Key numbers

New York Red Bulls 29%Draw 27%Inter Miami 44%

29%27%44%

44%

Inter Miami Win

71%

Over 2.5 goals

69%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami. Wins shown from New York Red Bulls’s perspective: New York Red Bulls 2 · 1 drawn · Inter Miami 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-11	Inter Miami	2 – 2	New York Red Bulls	D
2024-05-04	Inter Miami	6 – 2	New York Red Bulls	L
2024-03-23	New York Red Bulls	4 – 0	Inter Miami	W
2023-08-26	New York Red Bulls	0 – 2	Inter Miami	L
2023-05-31	Inter Miami	0 – 1	New York Red Bulls	W

📈 Recent form

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to San Diego. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Toronto FC.

LNew York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
LDC United 2-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
WNew York Red Bulls 4-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
WNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer

Inter Miami

Inter Miami come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to DC United. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Columbus Crew.

WAtlanta United FC 1-3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
WInter Miami 2-0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
WInter Miami 4-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
LColumbus Crew 2-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices New York Red Bulls at 29% to win and Inter Miami at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter Miami Win	44%	49%	@ 1.90
New York Red Bulls Win	29%	28%	@ 3.30
Draw	27%	22%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter Miami or Draw at 1.33 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter Miami or Draw	70%	72%	@ 1.33
New York Red Bulls or Draw	56%	51%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	90%	@ 1.06
Over 2.5	71%	76%	@ 1.25
Over 3.5	50%	58%	@ 1.62
Under 3.5	50%	42%	@ 2.20
Under 2.5	29%	24%	@ 4.00
Under 1.5	12%	10%	@ 10.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	69%	73%	@ 1.28
BTTS No	31%	27%	@ 3.50

📈 How the market moved

New York Red Bulls 28%Draw 22%Inter Miami 50%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.6-2.1 scoreline for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami.

What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.60 for New York Red Bulls and 2.09 for Inter Miami. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.