⚽ Major League Soccer
Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Atlanta United FC face Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Atlanta United FC have 2 wins from their last 5, while Chicago Fire have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 2, Chicago Fire won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Atlanta United FC win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.7-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Atlanta United FC or Draw at odds 1.57, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Atlanta United FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire. Wins shown from Atlanta United FC’s perspective: Atlanta United FC 2 · 2 drawn · Chicago Fire 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 0 | Atlanta United FC | L |
| 2024-04-28 | Chicago Fire | 0 – 0 | Atlanta United FC | D |
| 2024-03-31 | Atlanta United FC | 3 – 0 | Chicago Fire | W |
| 2023-05-21 | Chicago Fire | 3 – 3 | Atlanta United FC | D |
| 2023-04-23 | Atlanta United FC | 2 – 1 | Chicago Fire | W |
📈 Recent form
Atlanta United FC come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at CF Montreal. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Inter Miami.
- LAtlanta United FC 1-3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 1-3 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DAtlanta United FC 2-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- WPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Chicago Fire come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at New England Revolution.
- LNew England Revolution 1-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 2-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 3-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- WCharlotte 0-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Atlanta United FC at 42% to win and Chicago Fire at 32%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Atlanta United FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC Win | 42% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
| Chicago Fire Win | 32% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atlanta United FC or Draw at 1.57 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC or Draw | 68% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 58% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 | 56% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?
Our model's pick is Atlanta United FC or Draw at odds 1.57, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.
Who is the favourite for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?
Our model makes an Atlanta United FC win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.69 for Atlanta United FC and 1.68 for Chicago Fire. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire play?
Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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