Sun 25 Oct11:30Upcoming

⚽ Serie A

Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Inter vs Fiorentina in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Inter face Fiorentina in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Inter have 4 wins from their last 5, while Fiorentina have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Inter won 3, Fiorentina won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter win the most likely result at 73%, projecting a 2.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Inter vs Fiorentina with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Inter Win @ 1.33

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.52 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.8%	3.0%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
1	7.1%	7.5%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
2	8.9%	9.4%	4.9%	1.7%	0.5%
3	7.5%	7.9%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%
4	4.7%	5.0%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-1

Inter winDrawFiorentina win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Inter vs Fiorentina comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is an Inter win at odds 1.33, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 73%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Inter 73%Draw 16%Fiorentina 11%

73%16%11%

73%

Inter Win

69%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Inter and Fiorentina. Wins shown from Inter’s perspective: Inter 3 · 1 drawn · Fiorentina 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-22	Fiorentina	1 – 1	Inter	D
2025-10-29	Inter	3 – 0	Fiorentina	W
2025-02-10	Inter	2 – 1	Fiorentina	W
2025-02-06	Fiorentina	3 – 0	Inter	L
2024-01-28	Fiorentina	0 – 1	Inter	W

📈 Recent form

Inter

Inter come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Parma. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 3-4 at home to Club Brugge KV.

WBologna 1-3 InterSerie A
LInter 3-4 Club Brugge KVUEFA Champions League
WInter 3-0 ParmaSerie A
WInter 2-0 LumezzaneFriendlies Clubs
DAS Roma 2-2 InterSerie A

Fiorentina

Fiorentina come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Pisa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Como.

LFiorentina 1-3 ComoSerie A
LGenoa 2-1 FiorentinaSerie A
DFiorentina 1-1 NapoliSerie A
WFiorentina 3-0 PisaCoppa Italia
WVenezia 2-4 FiorentinaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Inter

No absentees reported.

Fiorentina

R. SottilBack Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Inter at 73% to win and Fiorentina at 11%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes an Inter win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter Win	73%	71%	@ 1.33
Draw	16%	18%	@ 5.25
Fiorentina Win	11%	11%	@ 9.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter or Draw at 1.07 (89% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Inter or Draw	89%	89%	@ 1.07
Fiorentina or Draw	28%	29%	@ 3.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	69%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	52%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	48%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	31%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	13%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	41%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Inter 71%Draw 17%Fiorentina 11%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter vs Fiorentina?

Our model's pick is an Inter win at odds 1.33, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Inter vs Fiorentina?

Our model makes an Inter win the most likely result at 73%. It projects an expected 2.5-1.1 scoreline for Inter vs Fiorentina.

What is the predicted score for Inter vs Fiorentina?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.52 for Inter and 1.05 for Fiorentina. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Inter and Fiorentina play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.