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⚽ Premiership

Hibernian vs Celtic Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hibernian vs Celtic in the Premiership. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Hibernian face Celtic in the Premiership, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: Hibernian have no wins from their last 5, while Celtic have 4 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 71%, projecting a 0.7-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hibernian vs Celtic with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Celtic or Draw @ 1.25
89%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.71 – 2.16 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.7% 12.2% 13.2% 9.5% 5.1%
1 4.0% 8.7% 9.4% 6.8% 3.7%
2 1.4% 3.1% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Projected score: 0-2
Hibernian winDrawCeltic win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hibernian vs Celtic comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Celtic or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 89% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celtic win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 71%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Hibernian 11%Draw 18%Celtic 71%
11%18%71%
71%
Celtic Win
55%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Hibernian

Hibernian come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Ross County. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Falkirk.

  • LHibernian 1-2 FalkirkPremiership
  • LDundee Utd 1-0 HibernianPremiership
  • DHibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
  • LHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
  • WRoss County 0-3 HibernianLeague Cup
Celtic

Celtic come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 7-1 at home to Heart Of Midlothian. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Benfica.

  • WCeltic 7-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
  • LBenfica 4-1 CelticUEFA Europa League
  • WMotherwell 0-2 CelticPremiership
  • LCeltic 0-1 RangersPremiership
  • LCeltic 1-3 FerencvárosUEFA Europa League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hibernian at 11% to win and Celtic at 71%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Celtic Win 71% 55% @ 1.67
Draw 18% 22% @ 4.20
Hibernian Win 11% 23% @ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celtic or Draw at 1.25 (89% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Celtic or Draw 89% 77% @ 1.25
Hibernian or Draw 29% 45% @ 2.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 78% 81% @ 1.17
Under 3.5 68% 60% @ 1.57
Over 2.5 55% 62% @ 1.53
Under 2.5 45% 38% @ 2.50
Over 3.5 32% 40% @ 2.38
Under 1.5 22% 19% @ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 56% 41% @ 2.25
BTTS Yes 44% 59% @ 1.57

📈 How the market moved

17%39%60%10/2010/2110/22

Hibernian 22%Draw 22%Celtic 56%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Celtic?

Our model's pick is Celtic or Draw at odds 1.25, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.

Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs Celtic?

Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 71%. It projects an expected 0.7-2.2 scoreline for Hibernian vs Celtic.

What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Celtic?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.71 for Hibernian and 2.16 for Celtic. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hibernian and Celtic play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.