Sun 25 Oct14:00Upcoming

⚽ Serie A

Genoa vs Venezia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Genoa vs Venezia in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Genoa face Venezia in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Genoa have 1 win from their last 5, while Venezia have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Genoa won 1, Venezia won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Genoa win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Genoa vs Venezia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.78 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	6.2%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
1	10.5%	11.0%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.3%	9.8%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	5.5%	5.8%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.5%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Genoa winDrawVenezia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Genoa vs Venezia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Genoa win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Genoa 42%Draw 34%Venezia 24%

42%34%24%

42%

Genoa Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Genoa and Venezia. Wins shown from Genoa’s perspective: Genoa 1 · Venezia 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-02-17	Genoa	2 – 0	Venezia	W
2024-09-21	Venezia	2 – 0	Genoa	L

📈 Recent form

Genoa

Genoa come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at AS Roma.

LAS Roma 2-0 GenoaSerie A
WGenoa 2-1 FiorentinaSerie A
LRapid 2-0 GenoaFriendlies Clubs
LParma 2-1 GenoaSerie A
WGenoa 1-0 SudtirolCoppa Italia

Venezia

Venezia come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Napoli. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Atalanta.

WVenezia 1-0 NapoliSerie A
LAtalanta 3-1 VeneziaSerie A
LVenezia 0-2 LazioSerie A
LVenezia 2-4 FiorentinaSerie A
LFrosinone 3-2 VeneziaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Genoa

L. VenturinoJumpers Knee

Venezia

M. ŠverkoHip Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Genoa at 42% to win and Venezia at 24%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Genoa win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genoa Win	42%	46%	@ 2.05
Draw	34%	27%	@ 3.50
Venezia Win	24%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Genoa or Draw at 1.30 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genoa or Draw	72%	74%	@ 1.30
Venezia or Draw	54%	54%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	73%	@ 1.30
Under 3.5	68%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	54%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	46%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	32%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	23%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	46%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Genoa 46%Draw 29%Venezia 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genoa vs Venezia?

Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Genoa vs Venezia?

Our model makes a Genoa win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline for Genoa vs Venezia.

What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Venezia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.78 for Genoa and 1.05 for Venezia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Genoa and Venezia play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.