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⚽ Bundesliga

SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Q: Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?

Our model makes a Bayern München win the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.8 scoreline for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München.

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

SC Freiburg face Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: SC Freiburg have 3 wins from their last 5, while Bayern Munich have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Bayern Munich won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 1.4-2.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.25

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.45 – 2.75 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.5%	4.1%	5.7%	5.2%	3.6%
1	2.2%	6.0%	8.2%	7.5%	5.2%
2	1.6%	4.3%	6.0%	5.5%	3.8%
3	0.8%	2.1%	2.9%	2.6%	1.8%
4	0.3%	0.8%	1.0%	1.0%	0.7%

Projected score: 1-2

SC Freiburg winDrawBayern Munich win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bayern Munich win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (79%), both teams to score points yes (71%).

📊 Key numbers

SC Freiburg 14%Draw 21%Bayern Munich 65%

14%21%65%

65%

Bayern Munich Win

79%

Over 2.5 goals

71%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between SC Freiburg and Bayern Munich. Wins shown from SC Freiburg’s perspective: 1 drawn · Bayern Munich 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-04	SC Freiburg	2 – 3	Bayern Munich	L
2025-11-22	Bayern Munich	6 – 2	SC Freiburg	L
2025-01-25	SC Freiburg	1 – 2	Bayern Munich	L
2024-09-01	Bayern Munich	2 – 0	SC Freiburg	L
2024-03-01	SC Freiburg	2 – 2	Bayern Munich	D

📈 Recent form

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to FC Luzern. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Bayer Leverkusen.

LBayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
WSC Freiburg 3-2 FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference
WSC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
WSC Freiburg 4-2 FC LuzernFriendlies Clubs
DEintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 20 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to Union Berlin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WBayern Munich 6-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
DViking 3-3 Bayern MunichUEFA Champions League
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
WBayern Munich 7-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
WSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SC Freiburg at 14% to win and Bayern Munich at 65%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayern Munich Win	65%	69%	@ 1.38
Draw	21%	17%	@ 5.75
SC Freiburg Win	14%	15%	@ 6.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.12 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayern Munich or Draw	86%	85%	@ 1.12
SC Freiburg or Draw	35%	31%	@ 3.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 79% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	92%	89%	@ 1.07
Over 2.5	79%	76%	@ 1.25
Over 3.5	60%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 3.5	40%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 2.5	21%	24%	@ 4.00
Under 1.5	8%	11%	@ 9.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 71%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	71%	66%	@ 1.40
BTTS No	29%	34%	@ 2.75

📈 How the market moved

SC Freiburg 15%Draw 16%Bayern Munich 69%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?

Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?

Our model makes a Bayern Munich win the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.8 scoreline for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich.

What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.45 for SC Freiburg and 2.75 for Bayern Munich. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SC Freiburg and Bayern Munich play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.